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Saturday, October 6, 2012

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

US Sr Tsy Offl: Whether Europe/Asia/India, Growth the Focus

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 01:30 PM PDT

By Denny Gulino

WASHINGTON (MNI) – Previewing Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner’s
trip next week to India and G7 and IMF meetings in Tokyo, a senior
Department official said global growth will be the focus as Europe makes
progress with new crisis tools and China manages structural change
important to the United States.

The official, briefing reporters, said Geithner will be
highlighting to his counterparts, as reflected in the Friday’s U.S. jobs
report, what will be welcome news the U.S. is contributing to growth and
has a policy to reduce its deficit over time, without a sharp withdrawal
of government spending. The official did not refer to the impending
“fiscal cliff” set of year-end circumstances that threatens exactly that
kind of withdrawal.

“We’re at a place in the global recovery where we really need all
the major economies to provide support for the recovery, a balanced
recovery,” the official said.

That is why Europe needs to continue to “navigate forward” through
financial challenges, the official continued, while China supports
global growth and “advances their agenda of structural transformation.”

As important as China’s adjustments are for its own economy, it is
also “very important in creating a balanced economic relationship with
greater opportunities for U.S. workers and exporters, with a more level
playing field, an economy that operates according to international
standards on intellectual property and an economy that has an exchange
rate that is based on market determination,” the official said.

The U.S. is “seeing a very substantial shift” by China toward a
flexible exchange rate, the official added, while the shift to a
consumption-based economy instead of exports is not yet sufficient.

Geithner travels to India Tuesday along with Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke to participate in the third annual meeting of the
U.S.-India Economic and Financial Partnership that had been postponed
earlier. Geithner goes on to Mumbai, the financial center, for meetings
with business executives.

Later in the week Geithner moves on to Tokyo for Friday’s Group of
Seven and the weekend IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings.

“The discussion in the G7 will focus very much on global growth
prospects and what each of the members of the G7 can do to support
growth here in our own economy and of course in the global economy more
generally,” the official said.

In Europe, “They have taken steps to create tools that we believe
put them in a much stronger position to reduce tail risk and to continue
to move forward on reforms” while maintaining “sustainable market
financing,” the official said.

As an example of collaborative growth efforts, “In recent weeks
we’ve seen action on the part of the Federal Reserve, the ECB, the Bank
of Japan all aimed at providing liquidity,” the official said. Helping
is the plan in the U.S. to slow the growth of the deficit by $4 trillion
while “leaving room for U.S. investment in competitiveness.”

** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **

[TOPICS: MI$$$$,M$X$$$,MAUDS$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MN$FX$,M$U$$$,M$$CR$]

Moody’s:To Keep US Locl Gov Outlk Neg Until Signif Econ Gains

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 01:20 PM PDT

By Yali N’Diaye

WASHINGTON (MNI) – Moody’s said Friday it is maintaining a negative
outlook for local governments, and it is likely to keep it that way
until “there are more significant and longer-lasting gains in the
economy that foster improvements in local government budgets.”

In addition to sluggish economic conditions putting strains on
property taxes, local government budgets face pressure on the state aid
revenue front — likely to continue “for the foreseeable future as
states contend with budget challenges of their own” — while pension and
health care costs continue to rise.

“As budget reserves and other sources of liquidity dwindle, some
issuers are turning to borrowing for operations and more are facing
severe financial strain,” Moody’s said in its mid-year outlook.

Hence the negative outlook for the next 12 to 18 months.

That being said, Moody’s pointed out that the debt burden was
typically low, and most local governments “still have room to manage
financial burdens through spending adjustments and by raising property
taxes, fees, and user charges for essential utility services.”

Yet the performance of the economy remains central to a change in
the outlook.

And on that front, Moody’s expects “tepid” and “uneven” growth
across regions, while the housing price recovery will take time — at
least until 2014 — before it is reflected in property tax revenues.

And before things get better, Moody’s anticipates that “More
instances of severe credit stress will surface on the back of mounting
wage and benefit costs, failing enterprise risks, and tightening
liquidity.”

Bankruptcies and defaults remain “rare,” however, among local
governments.

Besides, Moody’s recognized steps that have been taken by local
governments to balance their budgets, with spending cuts going beyond
discretionary program and affecting core government functions.

“Drawing down reserves has been another strategy used to close
budget shortfalls,” Moody’s also noted, warning, however, of the
potential negative implications of this strategy and the number of local
governments with negative fund balances — indicating low cash positions
– has increased in recent years.

Fund balances, expenditures and cash positions are all components
of a “Proposed Fiscal Stress Monitoring System” announced in September
by the New York New York State Comptroller’s Office as another way to
address local governments’ budget issues.

Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli announced on September 24 that his
Office was planning to implement an “early warning monitoring system
that would identify municipalities and school districts experiencing
signs of budgetary strain so that corrective actions can be taken before
a full financial crisis develops.”

The corrective action is not a financial aid, but would take place
in the form of technical assistance from the State to avoid a fiscal
crisis.

The State will assign “scores” to municipalities and school
districts to classify them into three categories: “significant fiscal
stress,” “moderate fiscal stress,” or “nearing fiscal stress.”

The comptroller’s office will start implementing the system around
February to localities whose fiscal year ends December 31, 2012.

The “Proposed Fiscal Stress Monitoring System” is out for comment
for a 60-day period.

The financial indicators it relies on include year-end fund
balance, operating deficits, cash position, use of short-term debt, and
fixed costs such as employee benefits.

New York State Deputy Comptroller Steven Hancox told MNI Friday
there is no plan to expand this system at the national level.

“We have not had any discussions with other states on it at the
moment,” he said.

He said he is not certain it would be possible to elaborate a
national system because “each state would have to make a determination
whether they had the authority to do such a thing,” he said.

He added the relationship between a state and local governments
varies from one state to the other.

Given those differences, he concluded “it is a little hard to have
a national system.”

In New York State, the goal of the proposed monitoring system is to
enable early action to avoid a crisis, with potentially an improvement
in local governments’ credit ratings.

The ultimate impact on local government’s ratings, however, remains
unclear, although comments from Standard & Poor’s suggest they would
tend to be positive.

Standard & Poor’s said Thursday in a commentary that “state
oversight of local government fiscal affairs can play an important role
in financial stability and can be a credit positive where it has
contributed to pro-active management policies.”

It added, “We consider budget adjustments and multiyear financial
planning to be valuable mechanisms for addressing fiscal stress, and
significant components of overall financial management, which can be an
important factor in determining rating outcomes.”

Still, “it is too early in the process to determine if this
enhanced fiscal monitoring will ultimately improve a local government’s
credit characteristics,” the rating agency said.

** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **

[TOPICS: MR$$$$,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MFU$$$]

ForexLive North American wrap: IT’S A CONSPIRACY

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 01:15 PM PDT

  • Non-farm payrolls +114K vs +115K exp
  • Crazy old man sparks day-long Twitter row over accuracy of NFP numbers
  • Canadian Sept employment +52.1K vs +10K exp
  • Saenz: Spanish bailout not a question of if, but when
  • Rajoy: Spain hasn’t made up its mind yet
  • ECB’s Asmussen: Not a done deal that Greece will get next aid tranche
  • Fed's Dudley: Housing a key impediment to growth.
  • Fed's Duke: US has extraordinary amount of vacant and distressed properties
  • European Institute sees recession through Q1 2013
  • Joint statement calls for European banking supervision this year
  • US consumer credit up most in three months
  • Another Spanish region gets on the dole
  • S&P 500 flat at 1461
  • CAD leads, AUD lags

Hard to feel too strongly either way. On the one hand, the euro rallied to the highest since September after NFP. On the other, it gave up almost all its gains by the end of the day. Daily range 1.3071-1.2994. Closing around 1.3029.

USD/JPY jumped to 78.87 after payrolls from 78.50 then slid back to 78.67.

The Canadian dollar also benefit ted from strong domestic numbers, sliding 70 pips to 0.9735 but later gave back almost all the gains.

AUD was battered repeatedly throughout the day. AUD/USD couldn’t clear 1.0275 after the upbeat payrolls news and keeled over and died after stops below 1.0240 broke. Cascading losses continued as low as 1.0152. Last at 1.0170.

Gold $1781. Oil $89.88.

Yep, the AUD longs have been covering

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 12:51 PM PDT

Weekly data on futures positioning from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report (as of the close on Tuesday).

  • EUR net short 50K, unchanged vs prior week
  • JPY net longs increase to 29K vs 21K prior
  • GBP net long 30K vs 27K prior
  • AUD net long 64K vs 90K prior
  • CAD net long 101K vs 105K prior
  • NZD net long 21K vs 20K prior
  • CHF net short 1K, unchanged vs prior week

Not much movement. Australian dollar longs were covered but still remain at a very high level.

The whipsaw in specs is the kind of thing that happens near a long-term top.

EUR/AUD was the best performer this week

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 12:45 PM PDT

The euro was the top gainer in the past week, while the Aussie dollar was the laggard. EUR/AUD gained 400+ pips on the week.

This pair has been crushed for the last 4 years but nothing lasts forever in FX. Since the record low in August, EUR/AUD has climbed in 6 of the past 8 weeks and almost wiped out the summer declines.

There is scope for a pullback to 1.26 and that would be a solid entry point but might be overly optimistic. The upward momentum in this pair is likely to continue as speculators exit large EUR shorts and AUD longs.

As a target, the 1.3000/50 level dovetails beautifully with the May highs and the 100-week moving average.

NFIB: Drop in Manufacturing Payrolls, Household Data Surprises

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 12:30 PM PDT

By Josh Newell

WASHINGTON (MNI) – Friday’s September jobs report was generally as
expected, illustrating still weak private sector growth, according to
the chief economist of the National Federation of Independent Business.

Payrolls growth from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ establishment
survey was rather weak, as the NFIB forecast, William Dunkelberg told
MNI in an interview.

“The private sector is still weak, not going into a recession by
any means, but growth is weak,” said Dunkelberg.

The one sector that did surprise was manufacturing, “Manufacturing
was the only sector that posted a meaningful gain in payrolls in our
small business survey, so we were a little surprised with the
manufacturing number in today’s report,” he said.

Manufacturing payrolls declined by 16,000 in September, after being
downwardly revised to a 22,000 drop in August — compared with a 15,000
decrease initially reported.

Dunkelberg was not sure if the exact reason for the divergence
between the BLS report and the NFIB survey but said that this does not
necessarily mean that small manufacturing businesses shed jobs in
September.

“Declining exports could be causing larger manufacturers to be
losing jobs,” he said.

While the establishment survey was generally as expected, the
household survey section of the report did cause quite a surprise.

According to Dunkelberg, “Everything was expected except for the
household data. That was very inconsistent.”

The household survey showed a decline in the unemployment rate to
7.8% from 8.1% in August, and a jump of 873,000 in those employed.

“You don’t get that kind of job creation with the GDP growth we
have,” said Dunkelberg, who mentioned that the last time the U.S. had
this kind of a monthly increase, the economy was growing at an 8% pace.

“Maybe we are currently growing faster than the 1.3% pace from the
second quarter, but we certainly aren’t growing fast enough to create
800,000 jobs a month,” he concluded.

–Joshua Newell is a reporter for Need to Know News in Washington

** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **

[TOPICS: M$U$$$,MAUDS$,M$$CR$]

US DATA: Aug consumer credit +$18.1b vs -$2.5b July..

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 12:10 PM PDT

US DATA: Aug consumer credit +$18.1b vs -$2.5b revised July. In Aug
revolving +$4.2b, resuming its growth, and nonrevolving +$13.9b.
NSA Fed govt +$23.9bm (included DOEd and other education loans),
suggesting additional training could be the main driver of credit
growth.

US DATA: Tsy-HUD Sept Hsg HAMP Scorecard says equity.

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 12:10 PM PDT

US DATA: Tsy-HUD Sept Hsg HAMP Scorecard says homeowner equity is rising
and underwater borrowers are -11% yoy. But it shows 17,000 got permanent
mortgage modifications in August, the same number as in July.
See MNI Main wire.

Asmussen: …about that money for Greece

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 12:02 PM PDT

  • Not a done deal that Greece will get the next tranche of aid
  • ECB cannot extend the maturity of Greek bonds or reduce their interest rates
  • Reuters quoting from a German newspaper

US consumer credit surges most in three months

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 12:00 PM PDT

  • +$18.12B vs +7.25B exp
  • Large rise in borrowing for education and vehicles

Germany about to start feeling isolated on banking supervision

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 11:52 AM PDT

France, Spain, Italy, Portugal and Malta release a joint statement calling for a single European banking supervision system to be decided this year and operational by January.

Update: Duke: Fed to Use ‘All Policy Tools’ To Support Recov

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 11:40 AM PDT

–Updating With Duke Comments From Audience Q&A
–Vacant, Distressed US Properties at Extraordinary Level

By Claudia Hirsch

NEW YORK (MNI) – Federal Reserve Board Governor Elizabeth Duke
Friday said that in the wake of the U.S. housing crisis, certain areas
with high residential-property vacancy rates will require government
intervention to heal.

An “unprecedented volume of foreclosures” has “left us with an
extraordinary level of vacant and distressed properties,” Duke told a
luncheon audience at a distressed residential real estate conference
hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

“In order to see the robust economic recovery we all want, we need
to deal effectively with the large volume of vacant and distressed
properties throughout the country,” she said.

“Certainly, different housing markets will recover in different
ways and at different paces,” Duke added. “In some areas, the private
market will lead the way, while in others, government will have to use
precious resources wisely to catalyze recovery.”

For its part, “I can assure you the Federal Reserve System will
continue to support recovery through the use of all its policy tools and
research capacity,” she said.

The costs of such government solutions must be weighed against the
“costs of doing nothing,” she said, and pointed to demolition and
conversion costs that taxpayers may ultimately bear.

But Duke also noted “signs of improvement” in U.S. housing
conditions this year, including rising home prices that have moved a
“noticeable number of underwater households … from negative equity to
positive equity.” Still, she cautioned that “these struggling
high-vacancy areas provide evidence of the hard work that remains.”

For-sale vacancies, however, are only one part of total vacancy
volume, she said.

“Many vacant homes are not on the market at all,” Duke said, and
noted those in the foreclosure process and bank-owned homes not yet for
sale, as well as those vacant for reasons unrelated to foreclosure.

“The stock of non-seasonal homes held off market is nearly two and
a half times as large as the for-sale vacant stock,” she said. This
component of vacancies has not declined “at all” in the past year, she
added.

The Fed governor said there is “no one-size-fits-all” solution to
the vacancy conundrum. Neighborhood stabilization efforts must take
different forms.

In what she called “housing boom” areas – metropolitan areas where
there are long-term vacancies among relatively newly built homes, and
where median incomes, home values and education levels are higher – a
useful solution could include conversions to rental units, especially as
the rental market tightens. In these areas, notably Phoenix, there are
signs of investor purchases that are resulting in more rental stock, she
said.

But Duke cautioned against “aggressive” investor activity that
could “crowd out potential homeowners, especially low- to
moderate-income households.” She praised government programs that offer
a “first look” window of time during which only non-investors can bid on
properties.

Turning to Baltimore, a “low demand” areas of high long-term
vacancy rates, Duke cheered the city’s initiative that includes an array
of approaches, including “targeted housing code enforcement to foster
redevelopment,” homebuyer incentives and, in certain hardest-hit
communities, demolition.

She also said that tighter, more prudent mortgage-lending standards
should not “unnecessarily dampen the housing recovery and
disproportionately affect creditworthy low-income and minority
homebuyers.”

Answering questions from the audience, Duke said “the policy focus
needs to remain squarely” on increasing the credit availability.

“Monetary policy works through the availability of credit.”

She said she is “not convinced” that the “return” to credit
availability will be as swift as in the past.

Duke said it is important for lenders to ensure that they “can
still make the irregular loan, one that does not fit into the box.” She
said stricter lending standards present barriers to these unusual loans
and narrow the types of loans made.

And larger banks’ and non-banks’ percentage of loan origination is
declining, she said, while some of the “slack is being picked up by
small lenders.”

Duke also said that the thorny issue of home-value appraisals
during the lending process is tough to solve. In some areas, appraisers
come from hundreds of miles away and without meaningful knowledge of the
particular market. Some states’ databases do not include sale prices,
she said. But she said that if upward home-price momentum builds,
appraisal prices will “improve.”

** MNI New York Newsroom: 212-669-6430 **

[TOPICS: M$U$$$,MMUFE$,MGU$$$,MFU$$$,M$$AG$,M$$CR$]

US CBO: Est. $75b Sept Federal Govt Surplus Vs -$63b Yr Ago

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 11:30 AM PDT

–Sees FY2012 Deficit Of -$1.1 Trln Vs -$1.3 Trln A Year Ago

WASHINGTON (MNI) – The following are excerpts from the
Congressional Budget Office’s Monthly Budget Review published Friday:

The federal budget deficit was about $1.1 trillion in fiscal year
2012, CBO estimates, approximately $200 billion less than the shortfall
recorded in 2011. At 7.0 percent of gross domestic product, the 2012
deficit was down from 8.7 percent in 2011 and 9.0 percent in 2010 but
greater than in any year between 1947 and 2008. The estimated 2012 total
reflects the shift of some payments from fiscal year 2012 into fiscal
year 2011 (that is, from October 2011 to September 2011, because October
1 fell on a weekend); without that timing shift, the deficit in 2012
would have been about $30 billion higher. CBO’s deficit estimate is
based on data from the Daily Treasury Statements; the Treasury
Department will report the actual deficit for fiscal year 2012 later
this month.

The Treasury reported a deficit of $191 billion for August, $1
billion less than the amount CBO had projected on the basis of the Daily
Treasury Statements.

The Treasury recorded a surplus of $75 billion in September 2012,
CBO estimates, in contrast with the $63 billion deficit incurred in the
same month last year. Shifts in the timing of certain payments
influenced the results in both years: Payments totaling $31 billion were
shifted from October 2011 to September 2011, while payments totaling $58
billion were shifted from September 2012 to August 2012. Adjusted for
those timing shifts, the surplus in September 2012 would have been $17
billion, in contrast with a deficit of $32 billion in September 2011.

Adjusted for timing shifts, outlays last month would have been $26
billion (or 10 percent) less than the amount recorded in September of
last year, CBO estimates. Net payments to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
were $7 billion lower than in the same month last year, because the
government did not provide cash infusions to the two entities this
September. The government recorded receipts of $7 billion in September
from the sale of stock in American International Group; no such sale
occurred in September 2011. Outlays for unemployment benefits were $6
billion lower in September than they were a year ago.

Adjusted for the effects of shifts in the timing of some payments,
spending for military activities also declined, by $5 billion, largely
because of smaller payments to contractors for goods and services. In
contrast, spending for Social Security benefits was $4 billion higher in
September 2012 than in September 2011.

Receipts this September were about $23 billion (or 9 percent)
higher than those in September 2011, CBO estimates. Net receipts from
the corporate income tax rose by $17 billion (or 44 percent), reflecting
higher quarterly tax payments. Net receipts from individual income and
payroll taxes rose by $5 billion (or 3 percent). Withheld receipts from
those sources fell by $1 billion, but they would have risen if not for
the effects of the calendar: September 2012 had two fewer business days
than September 2011. Nonwithheld receipts of individual income and
payroll taxes, mainly quarterly estimated payments of 2012 taxes, rose
by $3 billion (or 6 percent). And, together, changes in refunds of
individual income taxes and in collections of payroll taxes for
unemployment insurance boosted receipts by $2 billion.

The federal deficit was just under $1.1 trillion in 2012, CBO
estimates, $207 billion lower than the 2011 deficit and $38 billion less
than the agency projected in August. Outlays appear to have been $23
billion lower and revenues $15 billion higher than CBO expected.

** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **

[TOPICS: M$U$$$,MFU$$$,MCU$$$,M$$CR$]

CIC President says China on ‘optimistic track’

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 11:00 AM PDT

  • Hard landing not ‘base case scenario’
  • Growth to be driven by urbanization
  • Gao Xiqing spoke in NYC

Urbanization? More urbanization? Are they putting nicotine in the air pollution over there?

 

The BRIC-master still high on China

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 10:50 AM PDT

Goldman’s Jim O’Neill says China to drive BRIC stockmarket gains in 2013, which could be as high as 20%.

He says China is focused on reform and ‘quality’ growth  (on BBG).

The Shanghai Composite has been closed all week and is down 4.2% this year and 68% from the 2007 high.

Fed’s Duke: Fed to Use ‘All Policy Tools’ to Support Recovery

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 10:50 AM PDT

–Vacant,Distressed US Properties at Extraordinary Level

By Claudia Hirsch

NEW YORK (MNI) – Federal Reserve Board Governor Elizabeth Duke
Friday said that in the wake of the U.S. housing crisis, certain areas
with high residential-property vacancy rates will require government
intervention to heal.

An “unprecedented volume of foreclosures” has “left us with an
extraordinary level of vacant and distressed properties,” Duke told a
luncheon audience at a distressed residential real estate conference
hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

“In order to see the robust economic recovery we all want, we need
to deal effectively with the large volume of vacant and distressed
properties throughout the country,” she said.

“Certainly, different housing markets will recover in different
ways and at different paces,” Duke added. “In some areas, the private
market will lead the way, while in others, government will have to use
precious resources wisely to catalyze recovery.”

For its part, “I can assure you the Federal Reserve System will
continue to support recovery through the use of all its policy tools and
research capacity,” she said.

The costs of such solutions must be weighed against the “costs of
doing nothing,” she said, and pointed to demolition and conversion costs
that taxpayers may ultimately bear.

But Duke also noted “signs of improvement” in U.S. housing
conditions this year, including rising home prices that have moved a
“noticeable number of underwater households … from negative equity to
positive equity.” Still, she cautioned that “these struggling
high-vacancy areas provide evidence of the hard work that remains.”

For-sale vacancies, however, are only one part of total vacancy
volume, she said.

“Many vacant homes are not on the market at all,” Duke said, and
noted those in the foreclosure process and bank-owned homes not yet for
sale, as well as those vacant for reasons unrelated to foreclosure.

“The stock of non-seasonal homes held off market is nearly two and
a half times as large as the for-sale vacant stock,” she said. This
component of vacancies has not declined “at all” in the past year, she
added.

The Fed governor said there is “no one-size-fits-all” solution to
the vacancy conundrum. Neighborhood stabilization efforts must take
different forms.

In what she called “housing boom” areas – metropolitan areas where
there are long-term vacancies among relatively newly built homes, and
where median incomes, home values and education levels are higher – a
useful solution could include conversions to rental units, especially as
the rental market tightens. In these areas, notably Phoenix, there are
signs of investor purchases that are resulting in more rental stock, she
said.

But Duke cautioned against “aggressive” investor activity that
could “crowd out potential homeowners, especially low- to
moderate-income households.” She praised government programs that offer
a “first look” window of time during which only non-investors can bid on
properties.

Turning to Baltimore, a “low demand” areas of high long-term
vacancy rates, Duke cheered the city’s initiative that includes an array
of approaches, including “targeted housing code enforcement to foster
redevelopment,” homebuyer incentives and, in certain hardest-hit
communities, demolition.

She also said that tighter, more prudent mortgage-lending standards
should not “unnecessarily dampen the housing recovery and
disproportionately affect creditworthy low-income and minority
homebuyers.”

** MNI New York Newsroom: 212-669-6430 **

[TOPICS: M$U$$$,MMUFE$,MGU$$$,MFU$$$,M$$AG$,M$$CR$]

Rajoy: Spain has not taken a decision yet on Bailout–BBG

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 10:35 AM PDT

  • Spain needs to consider all the conditions
  • Any decision will be based on the best interests of Spain

EUR/USD slightly lower on the headlines.

AUD/USD falls below 1.02

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 10:29 AM PDT

Relentless selling. Stops seen below 1.0190 but some demand mixed in at Wednesday’s low (1.0182).

It’s been a nice run to the downside but it’s looking a little bit one-sided. China is back after a week of holidays tomorrow and  post-Golden Week is generally a good time for risk assets.

Friday on my mind

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 10:15 AM PDT

Fed’s Duke: US has extraordinary amount of vacant and distressed properties

Posted: 05 Oct 2012 10:02 AM PDT

  • In order to see robust recovery, must deal with large level of vacant homes
  • Private investors buying foreclosed properties to rent may crowd out some homeowners (Not your job to worry about that, sweetheart)

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