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Monday, January 7, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

Berlusconi strikes election deal with Northern League, wants to be economy minister

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 01:40 AM PST

Eurozone sentix investor confidence -7 in January

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 01:31 AM PST

Nice rise from -16.8 in December and demonstrably better than Reuters’ median forecast of -15.0.

Sentiment rises for fifth month in a row (yippeeeeee, jelly and icecream for everyone!!)

EUR/USD sits at 1.3035, exactly where it was when I arrived around four hours ago.

What day is it? Monday by any chance?

SNB’s Zurbruegg: Raising Swiss interest rates unthinkable

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 01:20 AM PST

Ummm, but nobody was thinking about higher Swiss interest rates. Just sayin :)

  • Worried about housing market
  • Concerned about volume of swiss mortgage market
  • ‘Very special situation. with 0% interest rates
  • Will constantly review mortgage situation

A dire showing from a dismal bunch

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 01:16 AM PST

Eurozone sentix investor confidence for January due 09:30 GMT

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 12:51 AM PST

Expected to see improvement to around -13.8 from previous -16.8.

UPDATE:   Sorry due 09:30 GMT not 09:00 GMT.    Would help if I could read my own writing ;)

Italian 10 year govt bond yield rises 5 bps to 4.31%

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 12:25 AM PST

Cue the jaws music……..

 

EUR/USD slips back again

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 12:18 AM PST

Talk sovereign player active seller of both EUR/USD and EUR/JPY in recent trade.

EUR/USD at 1.3028.

Buy orders seen clustered 1.3000/1.3020.

EUR/USD at 114.25. Sell stops seen through 114.00.

 

Draghi seeks extended calm in 2013 on fading euro economy

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 12:12 AM PST

Bloomberg article.

First ECB meeting of the year this week.

Rate decision due Thursday January 10th.

No rate change widely expected.

Swiss December foreign currency reserves 427.2 bln francs

Posted: 07 Jan 2013 12:05 AM PST

 Not a million miles away from Bloombergs’ median forecast of 423 bln.

Spanish 2 year note yield falls 5 bps to 2.38%

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 11:39 PM PST

Lowest since March 21.

EUR/USD has ticked a little higher in early European trade, presently at 1.3050.

Japanese business lobby head Yonekura: Current level of 88.00 in USD/JPY acceptable

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 11:32 PM PST

Expects USD/JPY range of 75-90.

Berlusconi close to Northern league pact

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 11:08 PM PST

If you’re interested in the upcoming Italian elections, guess you should read this FT article.

NOTE:  Do a google search using the headline if you want to read it.

European stocks seen opening marginally lower

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 10:50 PM PST

Financial bookies see FTSE opening down around -0.1%, DAX and CAC 40 down around -0.2%.

Cameron’s absurd behaviour over EU membership

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 10:44 PM PST

Placing a question mark over Britain’s European Union membership and its benefits is economically disastrous, says Peter Mandelson in The Guardian

Cable trading down around session lows, presently at 1.6020. 

Talk of buy orders clustered 1.5990/1.6010.

Slightly conflicting reports of sell stops gathered below 1.5990 and 1.5980.  Take your pick, what’s 10 pips between friends.

EUR/USD gives ground in Asia

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 10:28 PM PST

Down at 1.3035 from a North American close Friday up around 1.3075.

Single currency not helped by bout of EUR/JPY selling. 

Buy orders seen clustered 1.3000/20.    Talk of sell stops through 1.2980 before more buy orders clustered 1.2950/60. More sell stops gathered below there.

Until I see 1.2980 give way I’ll take it we’re still rangebound, parameters 1.3000-1.3300.

Sell orders clustered up at 1.3090/1.3110.   Talk of buy stops gathered just above there.

Welfare: The elephant in every room

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 10:10 PM PST

Here is why USD/JPY big upside move is already behind us – Nomura

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 09:52 PM PST

This will have been noted in Asia

USD/JPY down at 87.85 from a North American close Friday up around 88.15 and an overnight high of 88.37.

Talk of sell stops through 87.50.

EUR/JPY down at 114.45 from a North American close Friday up around 115.25.  Talk of sell stops through 114.00 and more through 113.80.

Ideas Corner/January 7th

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 09:47 PM PST

Got any ideas you’d like to share with your fellow readers, then here’s where to stick ‘em.

ForexLive Asia Wrap for Monday 07Jan2013: Looks like the Yen needs some new news

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 08:57 PM PST

The Yen had a relatively flat day today, which after the consistent losses all last week counts as a strong performance I suppose.

News/data/economic releases:

The EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD all ticked a little higher in the early hours of the week but soon lost the ground they had covered as Tokyo liquidity arrived in the market. The USD went into early Europe with overall strength on the day.

Reuters article on Abe’s latest comments

Posted: 06 Jan 2013 08:11 PM PST

At a meeting of officials and members of the LDP and New Komeito (his coalition partner).

  • “A bold monetary policy, a flexible fiscal policy and a growth strategy are aimed at stimulating private investment. With these three pillars, we must aim to beat deflation.”

Japan PM: Will pursue bold monetary policy, big fiscal spending

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