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Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

Order board: EURGBP

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 02:00 AM PDT

  • offers 0.8485, 0.8495-00, 0.8535,0.8560,0.8570,0.8600
  • bids 0.8440-50,0.8410

Order board: GBPUSD

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 01:53 AM PDT

  • offers 1.5200-10, 1.5220,1.5250,1.5280,1.5300,1.5320,1.5350
  • bids 1.5160, 1.5140,1.51235,1.5100,1.5050

Cyprus: Sarris says he “thinks” the banks will re-open on Thursday

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 01:48 AM PDT

thanks for that insight

quoted in bbc radio interview just now

also says losses on bank deposits could be ” around” 40%

Order board: AUDUSD

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 01:41 AM PDT

This pair has just posted a 2 month high of 1.0481 after failing to break up through 1.0480 yesterday.. Good size selling interest at 1.0490-00 still curbing the enthusiasm for the moment but plenty of support in the dips still.

  • offers 1.0490-00, 1.0520-30, 1.0550, 1.0590-00
  • bids 1.0450, 1.0435, 1.0420,1.0400,1.0385, 1.0365

 

Order board: EURUSD

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 01:18 AM PDT

As sellers start to dominate again at 1.2845 from 1.2885 here’s what’s out there with the banks

  • offers 1.2890-1.2900, 1.2920, 1.2950,1.3000,1.3020,1.3050,1.3075
  • bids 1.2825, 1.2800, ( both barrier option related), 1.2750,( large option expiry at 14.00 gmt here) 1.2725

French consumer confidence march: 84 vs 85 exp

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 12:46 AM PDT

  • 86 previously

Cyprus: ECB’s Couere says cyprus not a new model for europe

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 12:27 AM PDT

  • says Dijsselbloem was wrong
  • sees no risk of new turbulence in eurozone
  • no reason to think french banks have same problems as cyprus
  • better to keep cyprus banks closed while work is being done
  • says the cyprus problem shows the need for ecb to be independent supervisor of banks in europe

EUR a little firmer at 1.2882 and 121.48

N Korea says it will enter combat posture to target US mainland bases

Posted: 26 Mar 2013 12:04 AM PDT

just in case we didn’t have enough to worry about. Posture may well be the appropriate word here but it’s not a pretty backdrop to world events

  • the move is in retaliation for alleged US bomber sorties
  • US targets will include mainland bases on Hawaii and Guam ( lets hope it’s just posturing as our valued reader Colin is currently on vacation there )
  • China urges restraint

Cyprus: Piraeus banks says it expects to sign deal to take over cypriot banks in Greece by noon today

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 11:21 PM PDT

Nikkei closes down 0.6% at 12471.62

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 11:06 PM PDT

US Fed’s Fisher: confident that US growth will continue at 2-3%

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 10:51 PM PDT

  • speaking in Abu Dhabi
  • repeats call for reduced bond buying
  • says US economy slowly starting to move forward but not accelerate
  • says businesses are strong,balance sheets restructured. now need sense of clarity and direction
  • sees enormous amount of acquisition activity by US companies in europe and emerging markets
  • Cyprus case is unique.was a depository for hot money
  • the difficulty in Cyprus rescue is what it signals to other depositors around the world as depositors run economies
  • real problem in us economy is fiscal, not monetary, policy.

UK press: Cyprus,King and a teenage millionaire

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 10:46 PM PDT

All courtesy of the london commuter freebie

Option expiries10am NY cut

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 10:31 PM PDT

Good day everyone

Whilst I recover from the delightful shock of our cricketers forcing a test and series draw against the Kiwis here’s the option expiries for later

As always, just use them as you wish. They are not meant to design your strategy, merely colour it.

  • USDJPY  94.30,94.50,94.70,95.00,95.20,95.50,96.00,97.00,97.00
  • EURUSD 1.2750,1.2800,1.2805,1.2810,1.2815,1.2950,1.3000,1.3030
  • GBPUSD 1.5000,1.5130,1.5175,1.5200
  • AUDUSD 1.0225,1.0300,1.0400,1.0450,1.0475
  • NZDUSD 0.8280
  • EURJPY 119.60,120.20
  • AUDJPY 98.00
  • GBPJPY 144.50

Japan March small business confidence 49.7 (vs. prior of 46.0)

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 10:04 PM PDT

ForexLive Asia wrap: BOJ head Kuroda spoke in the Diet today ahead of the April 3 & 4 BOJ policy meeting

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 10:01 PM PDT

The forex trading headlines for Asia trading today

  • New BOJ head Kuroda spoke before the Japanese parliament today. He did not say anything of surprise to the markets, reiterating various points:
  • BOJ will do whatever it takes to end deflation
  • BOJ has not been buying enough in terms of size, type of asset
  • Will consider extending bond maturities – increasing purchases of long term bonds
  • Will consider scrapping banknote rule
  • Hard to set nominal GDP as policy target
  • Wants to Achieve BOJ's 2% Price Target in Two Years
  • Kuroda will now appear before Japan parliament's upper house on March 28
  • South Korea Q4 GDP revised lower to +0.3% q/q (vs. +0.4% expected)
  • Cyprus banks to remain closed until Thursday (28 March)
  • New Zealand February trade balance came in much above expectations at +414m (vs. -12m expected)
  • New Zealand February exports 3.91bn (vs. 3.55bn expected)
  • New Zealand February imports 3.49bn (vs. 3.58bn expected)
  • RBNZ said it is reviewing housing loan capital adequacy requirements
  • RBA Governor Glenn Stevens gave a speech today: “Financial Regulation:Australia in the Global Landscape”; there was nothing of relevance to monetary policy or FX

EUR/USD traded in a dead range today after all the activity in European and American markets. GBP/USD, too had a nothing range.

AUD and NZD were both very quiet – trading a few points lower as the Shanghai composite came off a little in the morning session (there was a rumour of a Chinese rate hike doing the rounds but the source was not the most credible, seemed to be just chatter)

USD/JPY was the mover today – it initially fell a little as Kuroda began his testimony and Q&A before parliament, but found support just below 94.00 and traded as high as 94.46 before settling sideways for the rest of the day.

RBA’s Stevens: Comments so far of little direct relevance to FX

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 09:48 PM PDT

Steven’s comments so far are about Australia taking on responsibility for reform processes as G20 chair.

There may be more relevant comments to come, maybe in a Q&A,  staying tuned.

Kuroda to appear before Japan parliament upper house on March 28

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 09:17 PM PDT

To discuss the BOJ’s semi-annual report

RBNZ: Monetary policy cannot influence real exchange rate

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 09:13 PM PDT

From the RBNZ cheif economist McDermott in a paper on its website.

Comment reported on newswires.

Also:

  • Policy may take out the worst of the peaks and troughs
  • Non-monetary polices could reduce the exchange rate

RBA’s Glenn Stevens speaking at 0445GMT

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 09:08 PM PDT

The speech, like so many of Stevens’ utterings, will be closely examined by the market for signs of the next move on interest rates over the next 12 months.

 

Incoming data at 0400GMT: Japan March small business confidence

Posted: 25 Mar 2013 08:37 PM PDT

  • Prior was 46.0

Source Bloomberg

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