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Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

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EUR/USD stopped on a dime

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 02:01 AM PDT

Bang on the 200 H4ma and 50 fib from Apr lo/hi. The morning high was 4 pips over the 55 ma.

eurusdh4 23 04 2013

 

And here we sit on the lows with the market not prepared, for now, to take things further.

Just below here we have decent support at 1.2967 with weaker support at 1.2957

Spanish bond auction results: EUR 3.01 bln sold vs 2-3 bln target

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 01:50 AM PDT

  • 3 month  EUR 855 mln ave yield 0.120% vs 0.285% prev. bid to cover 3.76 vs 3.3 prev
  • 9 month EUR 2.157 bln  0.787% vs 1.007% prev . 2.37 vs 2.45 prev

Another decent result lending some support to the euro.

EURUSD 1.2983 from low post of 1.2974

 

Cable halted just shy of trendline

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 01:44 AM PDT

Cables slide has come up just shy of the lower trendline that I have been detailing recently. AS you can see from the H4 chart we have the 200 ma just under at 1.5172.

gbpusdh4 23 04 2013

 

It’s all looking a bit soft at the moment and I think there’s some rate talk spill over into sterling. If the ECB are thinking about it then we probably won’t be to far behind.

I believe Mike will have the order boards coming along shortly.

 

Cyprus fin min says fully committed to bail-out deal

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 01:37 AM PDT

  • on reuters just now
  • says he’s sure parliament will approve
  • gold sale on the agenda but not happening right now
  • capital controls to be lifted in days/weeks

Nice and vague on that last comment unsurprisingly

 

Bank of Spain says Q1 GDP may be down by 0.5%

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 01:31 AM PDT

Versus previous quarter.

Around 8.30 gmt they are having an a T-bill auction

UK PSNBR march: m/m GBP 16.747 bln vs 14 bln exp

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 01:30 AM PDT

  • GBP 4.37 bln prev
  • ex fin, int  GBP 15.742   vs  15.5bln exp  2.8 bln prev
  • PSNCR march m/m GBP 31.27  bln vs -1.54 bln prev

Pound lower on increased public sector borrowing needs

GBPUSD 1.5205  low post 1.5198

 

Cable lower awaiting PSNBR data

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 01:18 AM PDT

GBPUSD has been dragged down by EURUSD but has support between 1.5200-20 that we’ve seen in recent visits down here.

Currently on its lows at 1.5223 as we await Public Sector Net Borrowing Requirement at the bottom of the hour.

gbpusd 1 hr 23 apr

Italian consumer confidence april: 86.3 vs 85.1 exp

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 01:06 AM PDT

  • 85.1 prev

Some good news for the euro !

 

Eurozone manufacturing flash PMI april : 46.5 vs 46.8 exp

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:59 AM PDT

  • 46.8 prev

Eurozone services flash PMI april: 46.6 vs 46.6 exp

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:58 AM PDT

  • 46.4 prev
  • Composite PMI flash april   46.5 vs 46.5 exp  46.5 prev

Euro lower on reports of ECB hinting at rate cuts

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:43 AM PDT

out on the wires giving added pressure to euro after PMI

EURUSD now 1.2994  EURJPY 128.15  EURGBP 0.8524

Add: Market knows it’s always a possibility and part of this will be factored in, limiting further immediate losses, but the sharp move lower reflects the fragility and uncertainty out there right now

ECB hints at rate cut

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:42 AM PDT

News just hitting my wires;

  • ECB president says “a new rate cut was always a possibility”
  • Inflation had fallen rather significantly but governing council says ECB has little ammunition left
  • ECB gov council member say last infromation on economy isn’t that positive and isn’t leading to better prospects
  • ECB would monitor very closely all data and stand ready to act to boost the recession hit eurozone

Rate cut talk has sent the euro nosediving through 1.3000 to a low of 1.2981

I’m not sure where these comments have come out and by who. The wires mention ECB president which is Draghi and then mention governing council members. They also have it as Mondays comments. The only thing I can guess at is that they may have picked up comments from Olli Rehn whom was speaking in New York yesterday, but I could be barking up the wrong tree. Will let you know as soon as I get news.

Euro lower after weak German PMI data

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:35 AM PDT

I warned before this came out that there were sellers around on EURUSD and more ready to jump on any rally.

No rally though and a sharp drop to 1.3024.

Buyers noted on further dip between 1.3000-15. Currently 1.3030

eurusd 1 min 23 apr

German services flash PMI april: 49.2 vs 51 exp

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:29 AM PDT

  • 50.9 prev
  • Composite flash PMI april  48.8  vs 51 prev

Euro lower on poor data.. EURUSD 1.3035 from 1.3080

German manufacturing flash PMI april: 47.9 vs 49 exp

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:28 AM PDT

  • 49 prev

Euro supported ahead of German PMI but sellers in the rally

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:22 AM PDT

We’ve seen a sharp spike to 1.3080 on EURUSD after the French PMI and in front of the German PMI coming up shortly.

Sellers appearing up here though.. Expect more in any rally to 1.3100 should the data be euro-positive

Currently 1.3077

European equities open slightly firmer

Posted: 23 Apr 2013 12:09 AM PDT

  • FTSE 0.2%
  • DAX +0.04%
  • CAC40 +0.2%
  • IBEX +0.2%
  • FTMIB +0.2%

French services PMI april: 44.1 vs 42 exp

Posted: 22 Apr 2013 11:58 PM PDT

  • 41.3 prev
  • Composite flash PMI april  44.2  vs  41.9 prev

Euro gets lift from the better than expected data.  EURUSD post 1.3067 but lower again at 1.3060 now

 

French manufacturing flash PMI april: 44.4 vs 44.3 exp

Posted: 22 Apr 2013 11:58 PM PDT

  • 44.00 prev

French business climate april: 88 vs 90 exp

Posted: 22 Apr 2013 11:45 PM PDT

  • 91 prev revised up from 90
  • overall business sentiment april 84 vs 86 in march

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