InstaForex

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

USDJPY fails to breach 103

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:45 AM PDT

high posted 102.99 ahead of 103 sell interest and now back to 102.86 but seems underpinned still

EURJPY clinging to 133.00 after high post of 133.20

Add: I’m hearing that funds were selling into the USDJPY rally

AUDUSD slides again

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:42 AM PDT

Lest we forget another vulnerable pair

We saw a dump to 0.9745 in the run up to UK data ( sorry but I’ve only got one pair of hands at the moment as Ryan is delayed in ).

Support seen at 0.9730-35 and larger at 0.9700-10

Cable barrier at 1.5100 trashed

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:37 AM PDT

Didn’t take much in the end to get rid of that obstacle

Lower again at 1.5075. next decent  support seen at 1.5050

This will be hurting a few cable bulls but the retail sales figures speak for themselves

UK PSNBR april: GBP +8.035 bln vs +7.00 bln exp

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:33 AM PDT

  • +16.75 bln prev
  • ex fin int  GBP +6.3 bln vs+ 8.45 bln exp  +15.14 bln prev
  • PSNCR GBP -10.8 bln vs -31.3 bln prev

Borrowing requirements over all improves after stripping out the BOE’s QE coupon transfers and the Royal Mail pension fund

 

UK retail sales april: m/m -1.3 % vs 0.0% exp

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:31 AM PDT

  • -0.7% prev
  • y/y  +0.5 %  vs  +2.0% exp   -0.5% prev

Horrible data again

Plunging food sales as well as summer items also doing badly amongst the awful weather conditions

GBPUSD down to 7 week lows at  1.5085  EURGBP up to 0.8572

 

BOE MPC minutes: vote on holding QE 6-3 vs 6-3 prev

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:30 AM PDT

  • vote on holding interest rates at 0.5%   unch at 9-0
  • QE left on hold as a move to increase would have surprised markets and created uncertainty over price stability
  • case for more QE based on labour market slack and that euro weakness may  push sterling higher
  • economic conditions had improved in april but Eurozone uncertainties remain a threat

Full minutes here

 

Coming up at the bottom of the hour: MPC minutes

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:23 AM PDT

along with UK retail sales

Pound under pressure still ahead of the event

GBPUSD 1.5128  EURGBP 0.8547

EURCHF on 4 month highs at 1.2545

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:05 AM PDT

Further to my earlier post and ahead of SNB Jordan speaking at 10.00 gmt

Reported barrier option at 1.2550. high so far 1.2549. currently 1.2544

Eurozone trade account march: sa EUR + 25.9 bln vs +16.3 bln prev

Posted: 22 May 2013 01:00 AM PDT

  • nsa EUR+ 24.8 bln vs +12.1 bln prev
  • net investment flows EUR-6.1 bln vs -10.6 bln prev

Market unimpressed by better numbers  EURUSD 1.2936

EURJPY breaks 133.00 as euro finds good demand

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:57 AM PDT

Strong buying interest in this pair to post 3 1/2 year highs so far of 133.03 thus popping reported 133.00 barrier

Lifting USDJPY to session highs of 102.85 ahead of decent sell interest 102.90-103.00

Good demand for the euro across the board. EURUSD now through Asian highs at 1.2941 ahead of strong sell interest at 1.2950-60

EURGBP higher at 0.8544 in front of 0.8550 sellers.

Gold shines in early trading

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:52 AM PDT

Up 1% so far to 1390.

Support at 1360 held again and now heading toward resistance at 1403.

gold 22 may

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:43 AM PDT

While we wait for Mr K’s Q&A here’s the cable orders . currently 1.5146

Sellers 1.5175,1.5190,1.5200,1.5230,1.5260,1.5280, 1.5300

Buyers 1.5135,1.5115,1.5100*,1.5080,1.5050,1.5035     * barrier option related

gbpusd orders 22 may

Kuroda: Change in fx rates will boost export volume but expects a time lag of 6-9 months

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:31 AM PDT

More from The Guvn’r

  • expects favourable economic cycle of rising prices, wages and incomes
  • no change in BOJ policy to buy around 50 trillion yen in debt annually

USDJPY still 102.65 hang on, its moved ! 102.62  EURJPY 132.66

 

Kuroda: volatility in JGBs remains high. will keep close watch

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:23 AM PDT

Here he comes folks !

  • doesn’t expect long term rates to surge anytime soon
  • sees no big impact of long-term rates on economy now
  • BOJ will alter the frequency and bond-buying terms as needed

Nothing new so far

USD JPY 102.65   EURJPY 132.65

  • Real interest rates are probably falling
  • no change in 2% inflation goal in  2 years
  • employment situation improving but regular pay not improved yet

USD JPY still 102.65

 

 

Japan’s Suga wants BOJ to continue to steadily achieve 2% inflation target as soon as possible

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:21 AM PDT

  • chief cabinet sec out on rueters

European equity markets open mixed

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:09 AM PDT

  • FTSE -0.1%
  • DAX -0.1%
  • CAC40 -0.1%
  • IBEX +0.1%
  • FTMIB +0.3%

EURUSD orders

Posted: 22 May 2013 12:05 AM PDT

While we wait for Mr Kuroda here’s what’s out there for EURUSD. currently 1.2920

Sellers 1.2940,1.2950,1.2970,1.2990.13000,1.3015

Buyers 1.2900,1.2880,1.2860,1.2850,1.2840,1.2820,1.2800,1.2780,1.2750

eurusd ordwers 2  may 22

 

Kuroda up shortly

Posted: 21 May 2013 11:31 PM PDT

The BOJ governor’s press confererence starts  at 06.30 gmt and assuming it’s not embargoed we can expect to see a stream of comments, and then of course we’ll get the Q&A.

Another over-hyped event ? We’ll find out soon enough

USDJPY currently 102.58  EURJPY 132.46  AUDJPY 100.30

Swissy weakening again ahead of SNB Jordan’s speech later

Posted: 21 May 2013 11:14 PM PDT

Cometh another delivery from SNB chairman Thomas Jordan then invariably cometh some CHF weakening as traders again get excited about the possibility of new announcements/policy.

Today is no exception and this morning we’re seeing EURCHF consolidate above 1.2500 and posting highs of 1.2543 so far. USDCHF is back above 0.9700 after suffering a sharp reversal to 0.9653 from 0.9752 yesterday amidst the USD sell-off.

I don’t expect much from the SNB apart from re-iteration of position but these pairs are definitely going to be in play today after Bernanke’s testimony so worth keeping an eye on.

usdchf 22 may

eurchf 22 may

Nikkei 225 closes +1.6% at 15,627.26

Posted: 21 May 2013 11:06 PM PDT

  • +246.24

0 comments: