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Friday, May 24, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

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EURUSD orders

Posted: 24 May 2013 02:02 AM PDT

Currently off its 1.2987 highs at 1.2977

Sellers 1.3000,1.3020,1.3035,1.3050, 1.3080,

Buyers 1.2960, 1.2950,1.2925,1.2905,1.2880,1.2850,1.2820,1.2800

eurusd orders 24 may

BOE’s Fisher does not like gung-ho approach to QE

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:53 AM PDT

Unlike the yanks going in all guns blazing, Paul Fisher favours a slow amount of QE over time.

  • No obvious evidence that QE less powerful now than before
  • In US QE has had more impact in recent months than earlier

Trading Ideas 24 May

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:41 AM PDT

While I start to post up some orderboards now that I’ve got a chance, let’s be having your thoughts and ideas here.

Reasons welcome as always, and ” go down the pub” is my current odds-on expected response so try and keep it original!

 

Yen weakness across the board

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:36 AM PDT

Not seeing/hearing anything in partuiclaur so maybe some stop-loss panic after earlier lows in Asia/early Europe.

In a previous post this morning I mentioned good buying interest on AUDJPY at 98.00.. now 98.70

JPY pairs coming off their highs as I type. USDJPY now 101.95 from a quick jump to 102.11

Euro rampant after IFO

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:31 AM PDT

EURUSD breaking up through resistance around 1.2980. sell orders lined up approaching 1.3000

currently 1.2985

EURJPY at 132.44 after low post of 130.70 in the Nikkei meltdown

EUR/USD back in the range

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:23 AM PDT

Despite the volatility everywhere else the euro is still within a fairly tight 500 pip range.

As it’s moving up as I type I’ll post the levels then pad it out after

First resistance is at 1.2977 then 1.2985 along with the 55 dma & 100H4 ma, then the 200 dma at 1.3006

Additional orders 24 May

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:11 AM PDT

Morning all

USD/CHF

Offers: 0.9720

Bids: 0.9630, 0.9600, 0.9570

USD/CAD

Offers: 1.0360-70, 1.0400 barriers

Bids: 1.0300, 1.0285-90

EUR/CHF

Offers: 1.2550, 1.2600

Bids: 1.2440-50, 1.2420, 1.2400

German IFO business climate may: 105.7 vs 104.5 exp

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:00 AM PDT

  • 104.4 prev
  • current conditions 110  vs 107.2 exp  107.3 prev
  • expectations 101.6   vs 101.6 exp  101.6 prev

Much better than expected . EURUSD up at 1.2952

  •  nsa service sector climate  15.0 vs 12.4 prev
  • sa retail climate +0.1 vs -1.1 prev
  • sa wholesale climate +1.7 vs -5.2 prev

May Italian consumer confidence 85.9 vs 86.8

Posted: 24 May 2013 01:00 AM PDT

  • Prior 86.3

German IFO coming up at the top of the hour

Posted: 24 May 2013 12:56 AM PDT

Business climate exp 104.5 vs 104.4 prev

European equity update: New highs seen next week

Posted: 24 May 2013 12:37 AM PDT

My very wise and learned friend in the equity markets who yesterday told us that institutions will be queuing up to buy in these dips  expects to see new highs posted next week

He had this to say to me this morning

I reckon US markets demonstrated the correct reaction. Don't expect much ahead of long UK/US weekend, but predict a proper bounce on Tuesday/Wednesday with indices testing new all time highs late next week.

So maybe still not time to call a top on them just yet. I’ll let you know when he changes his mind!

BOE’s Fisher: negative rates not guaranteed to boost growth.

Posted: 24 May 2013 12:28 AM PDT

  • could even have a perverse effect

The man is still talking to a business audience in Wales

  • says he wants greater level of bank lending after FLS

Everyone here will say Aye to that

The MPC menber said:

We have looked at whether or not we could cut interest rates further. My own personal view is that negative rates would not necessarily do very much at the moment to boost growth. Could even be perverse.

GBPUSD 1.5101

BOE’s Fisher: no guarantee that monetary boost will result in UK economic growth

Posted: 24 May 2013 12:13 AM PDT

  • or the inflation outcomes that the BOE want

Out on the wires now from Paul Fisher, one of the three in favour of more QE recently. making the comment that much more interesting

  • UK is maybe two-thirds or three-quarters of the way through balance sheet adjustments

Nothing really of note from this man but a little reminder that QE is not a guaranteed cure

GBPUSD  a little lower at 1.5093

European equity markets open higher

Posted: 24 May 2013 12:06 AM PDT

  • FTSE +0.3%
  • DAX +0.4%
  • CAC40 +0.5%
  • IBEX +0.6%
  • FTMIB +0.8%

French business climate may: +92 vs +89 exp

Posted: 23 May 2013 11:49 PM PDT

  • +88 prev

EURUSD back up to 1.2938 from 1.2927 on the better than expected data

 

Fed’s Bullard: a change to QE would be easing of policy stimulus not an end to it

Posted: 23 May 2013 11:10 PM PDT

It’s that man again.. this time speaking on CNBC

  • says US labour market making progress and expects that to continue
  • he’s more optimistic on US economic prospects than most of his FOMC colleagues
  • says “wild card” for economy is inflation coming in lower. doesn’t see that happening by june meeting
  • would want to see signs of inflation moving back to target before tapering QE
  • not surprised to see  market volatility, especially in Japan, after the sharp rises

EURUSD on new session highs of 1.2940  GBPUSD 1.5102  USDJPY  101.62

Nikkei closes up 0.89% at 14,612.45

Posted: 23 May 2013 11:03 PM PDT

  • +128.47 points
  • volatile session that saw swings of +/- 3%

That’s one less thing to worry about

USDJPY 101.75 EURJPY 131.52  AUDJPY 98.48

German GFK consumer sentiment june: +6.5 vs +6.2 exp

Posted: 23 May 2013 11:01 PM PDT

  • +6.2 prev
  • highest since sept 2007

German Q1 GDP: q/q +0.1 % vs +0.1% prev

Posted: 23 May 2013 11:00 PM PDT

  • y/y  -1.4%  % vs  -1.4% prev
  • Q4 final q/q -0.7%  y/y unchanged
  • bad weather blamed for poor Q1 showing

Data coming up in this session

Posted: 23 May 2013 10:54 PM PDT

First up at the top of the hour is German GDP and GFK consumer sentiment

German IFO follows at 08.00 GMT

Times BST ( GMT+1)

data 24 may

 

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