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Monday, June 10, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

Italian final Q1 GDP -0.6% vs -0.5% prior q/q

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 02:00 AM PDT

  • -2.4% vs -2.3% prior y/y

The final numbers are down 0.1% both q/q and y/y and pushing the Italians further into the red.

EUR/USD still not confirming a breakout

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 01:46 AM PDT

The run up to 1.3300 could have led to a decent break of the two month range but we’re back down into 1.3200 and not looking overly keen at that level either.

eurusddaily 10 06 2013

 

First line support comes in at 1.3174 then 1.3135/40 is support and the 100 wma . Further down is the 100 dma at 1.3104 and strong bids at 1.3100, as pointed out on Mike’s order board.

Up north resistance is at the old 50 fib at 1.3227, 1.3267, 1.3300 then the 68.1 fib from  the year hi/lo at 1.3341.

I would like to see 1.3200 hold if we are to make a break out of this range. I still think there are forces at play that are keeping the euro stable (Asian options) and fundamentally that might not be such a bad thing.

While we can see a nice double bottom down at 1.2750/1.2800, we can also see a possible triple top at 1.3200.

While we’re waiting for it to decide which way to go playing the edges is still the low risk trade. A close below 1.3200 should see us move lower while a break and close above 1.3227 should see the pair add further gains.

Eurozone sentix index rises to -11.6 for june

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 01:36 AM PDT

  • compared to -15.6 in may

EURUSD a little higher at 1.3208

 

Yen weakness again as the European session gets underway

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 01:26 AM PDT

USDJPY has popped up through decent sell interest at 98.50. more offers at 98.75 and larger at 99.00-20.. currently 98.56 62

EURJPY lifted through good sell interest at 130.00. next key sell area 130.50. currently 130.17

ECB’s Nowotny says ECB should consider staggering its takeover of banking supervision

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 01:13 AM PDT

out on reuters

All part of the big debate

EURUSD off its lows prior to this at 1.3203

April Italian industrial production -0.3% vs 0.1% exp

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 01:01 AM PDT

  • Prior -0.8%
  • -4.2% vs -5.2% Prior y/y

ECB’s Couere: there are limits to what monetary policy can do

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:50 AM PDT

Out on the wires

  • easing measures prevented catastrophic outcome for EZ but there are limitations
  • ECB policy should always be about price stability

EURUSD 1.3196

 

EURGBP orders

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:46 AM PDT

Going nowhere fast around 0.8500 still. currently 0.8509

Sellers 0.8515,0.8525,0.8535,0.8550,0.8580,0.8590,0.8600

Buyers 0.8480,0.8470,0.8450,0.8435,0.8400

EURJPY orders

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:43 AM PDT

Lifted by renewed yen weakness. currently 129.76

Sellers 130.00,130.50,130.70,130.90,131.00,131.40,131.50

Buyers 129.50,129.30,129.10,129.00,128.75,128.50

Swiss retail sales april: y/y +3.3% vs +2.4% exp

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:16 AM PDT

  • -0.8% prev revised up from -0.9%

USDCHF picking up some good buying interest this morning. currently 0.9405  EURCHF higher again at 1.2396

AUDUSD orders

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:15 AM PDT

Offers at 0.9450 already reported in an earlier post. currently back down 0.9411

Sellers 0.9450,0.9480,0.9490,0.9500,0.9520,0.9550

Buyers 0.9400,0.9390,0.9360,0.9350,0.9335,0.9300

USDJPY orders

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:12 AM PDT

Further to my earlier post reporting offers at 98.50 capping the rally so far. currently 98.33

Sellers 98.50,98.75,99.00,99.10,99.20,99.35,99.50

Buyers 98.00, 97.80,97.60,97.50,97.30,97.10,97.00

 

EURUSD orders

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:07 AM PDT

Currently on the overnight and morning lows at 1.3184

Sellers 1.3200,1.3210,1.3230,1.3250,1.3270,1.3280,1.3300,1,3320

Buyers 1.3180,1.3170,1.3150,1.3140,1.3120,1.3100,1.3090

eurusd orders 10 june

European equity markets open lower

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:04 AM PDT

  • FTSE  -0.3%
  • DAX -0.1%
  • CAC40 -0.3%
  • IBEX  flat
  • FTMIB -0.1%

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 10 Jun 2013 12:02 AM PDT

Currently going nowhere fast at 1.5515

Sellers 1.5550,1.5565,1.5590,1.5600,1.5610

Buyers  1.5500,1.5490,1.5450,1.5435,1.5400,1.5390,1.5380,

gbpusd orders 10 june

French industrial output april: m/m +2.2% vs +0.3% exp

Posted: 09 Jun 2013 11:46 PM PDT

  • -0.6% prev revised up from -0.9%
  • manufacturing production m/m +2.6% vs -0.6% in march

EURUSD 1.3195

 

AUDUSD rally stalls ahead of sell orders

Posted: 09 Jun 2013 11:45 PM PDT

After the gap lower in Asia following weaker than expected Chinese data the pair staged a small recovery to 0.9446 after taking out barrier option interest at 0.9400 and posting 0.9394 lows

Sell interest reported at 0.9450 is capping the rally, and there’s  the little matter of filling the gaping hole should we break higher

Currently 0.9420

audusd 10 june

Bank of France sees Q2 growth of +0.1% q/q

Posted: 09 Jun 2013 11:34 PM PDT

  • unchanged from first estimate
  • services business climate indicator falls to 88 vs 89 in april
  • industrial business climate indicator unchanged at 94

EURUSD a little lower at 1.3193

 

USDJPY higher on strong Nikkei showing but sell interest seen close by

Posted: 09 Jun 2013 11:14 PM PDT

I posted last night that the yen’s continuing trend would, not surprisingly given recent showing, be dependent on the Nikkei and so it’s proved.

With the Nikkei closing on daily highs up almost 5% we’ve seen USDJPY rally to 98.43 earlier

Currently 98.37 but good sell interest is reported at 98.50

Japanese buyers reported to be moving bids up to 98.00 from 97.50 though

Japanese current economy watchers index may: 55.7 vs 56.5 prev

Posted: 09 Jun 2013 11:06 PM PDT

  • 2nd successive drop
  • Outlook index 56.2 vs 57.8 prev. 1st drop in 2 months

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