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Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

Eurozone industrial production april: m/m +0.4% vs -0.2% exp

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 02:00 AM PDT

  • +0.9% prev revised down from 1.0%
  • y/y -0.6% vs -1.2% exp  -1.4% prev revised up from -1.7%

Good news all round for the collective

EURUSD higher at 1.3290

 

BOE’s Haldan & Kohn

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:53 AM PDT

Kohn

  • Leverage ration of 3% too low in long run
  • Biggest risk is UK, Europe economic weakness
  • UK lenders periphery exposures pose risks
  • FPC may need power to address loan to value ratios

Haldane

  • Wanted FPC to have directive powers on leverage ration
  • FPC’s communications record has been mixed so far
  • Operational risk, too big to fail among top risks
  • Search for yield, low rates also among top risks

In typical UK fashion we create a body to oversee and manage the financial system and to highlight and act on any systemic risks, yet all I’ve heard from FPC members is that they are lacking a lot of the powers needed to do the job.

It’s coming across as another half-arsed scheme that is working with one hand tied behind it’s back. It’s spent more time in poxy parliamentary meetings than it has doing the job it should.

Rant over…….for now.

BOE’s Fisher: FLS remarkably successful in lowering funding costs

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:50 AM PDT

  • Don’t want higher house prices but do want more transactions to boost demand
  • FLS has had stimulus effect on economy
  • Economy growing again but must keep nursing signs of recovery
  • Need to keep pressure on banks to pass on lower funding costs as market not very competitive
  • Worried euro crisis hasn’t finished it’s course
  • Concerned level of real house prices still high

EUR/GBP slapped down after UK jobless numbers

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:46 AM PDT

It was on the way anyway as EUR/USD takes a dive back through 1.33 to 1.3279

The move has pulled up just ahead of the lower channel line running through from April.

eurgbph4 12 06 2013

The low at 0.8469 has also coincided with support at that level. Under here is stronger support at 0.8459 the 0.8438.

Above strong resistance comes in at 0.8538/40.

BOE’s Fisher says it’s not really the job of central bank to fund lending

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:39 AM PDT

  • These are exceptional circumstances

Speaking at a conference

BOE’s Donald Kohn says FPC has not been compromised

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:38 AM PDT

Speaking before a treasury select committee

May UK jobless claimant count -8.6k vs -5k exp

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:30 AM PDT

  • Prior -7.3k Revised to -11.8k
  • Claimant count rate 4.5 % vs 4.5% exp. Prior 4.5%
  • April ILO unemployment rate 7.8% vs 7.8% exp. Prior 7.8%
  • April average weekly earnings 1.3% vs 0.3% exp. Prior 0.4% revised to 0.6%
  • April Ave earnings less bonus 0.9% vs 0.7% exp. Prior 0.8%

Seventh consecutive monthly drop and a good revision to last months figures.

Average earnings also up by 1% which will while good for the workforce, will be monitored closely by the inflation watchers.

 

EURUSD retreats from strong sell interest

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:14 AM PDT

Earlier I posted in my orderboard that there was strong sell interest at 1.3340-50

High was 1.3335.now 1.3298

I hope some of you made the most of it

EURJPY orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:10 AM PDT

Currently 128.65

Sellers 128.90,129.00,129.50,129.60,130.00,130.20,130.50

Buyers 128.20,128.00,127.80,127.50, 127.00

BOE’s Fishers says UK monetary policy may be kept loose for some time

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:07 AM PDT

Speaking in the Times

“The macroeconomic outlook is not as bright as in the US and therefore we are behind them in terms of a return to anything like trend growth”

“I won’t get terribly excited until we have had a run of growth that gives us a bit more comfort that something is set in train”

Leave the printer on, Fisher tells the office junior.

EURGBP orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:06 AM PDT

Currently 0.8492

Sellers 0.8525,0.8535,0.8550,0.8580,0.8590,0.8600

Buyers  0.8480,0.8470,0.8450,0.8430,0.8410,0.8400

Italian CPI may final: m/m 0.0% vs 0.0% exp

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 01:03 AM PDT

  • 0.0% prev
  • y/y +1.3%  vs +1.3% exp +1.3% prev
  • consumer prices may final m/m  0.0% vs +0.1% exp +0.1% prev  y/y +1.1% vs +1.2% exp +1.2% prev

AUDUSD orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 12:59 AM PDT

Strong rally this morning as I’ve highlighted.. currently 0.9516

Sellers 0.9550,0.9570,0.9600,0.9630,0.9650

Buyers 0.9480,0.9450,0.9425,0.9410,0.9400,0.9380,0.9350,0.9330,0.9300

USDJPY orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 12:53 AM PDT

We’re seeing yen weakness across the board this morning.. USDJPY currently testing sell interest between 97.00-10

Sellers 97.10,97.20,97.30,97.50,97.80,98.00,98.10,98.40,98.50

Buyers 96.70,96.50,96.30,96.10,96.00,95.50

Aussie marches on through 0.9500

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 12:36 AM PDT

Good buying interest/stops on AUDJPY is lifting the pair in strong fashion

AUDUSD highs of 0.9539. currently 0.9522

AUDJPY just off its highs at 92.38

EURUSD orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 12:09 AM PDT

Currently 1.3319

Sellers 1.3330,1.3340,1.3350,1.3375,1.3400

Buyers 1.3290,1.3280,1.3270,1.3250,1.3220,1.3200,1.3185

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 12:05 AM PDT

Currently 1.5670

Sellers 1.5675,1.5685,1.5695,1.5700,( barrier option related)1.5720,1.5750,1.5770,1.5790

Buyers 1.5635,1.5610,1.5600,1.5550,1.5510,1.5500

European equity markets open lower

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 12:02 AM PDT

  • FTSE  -0.1%
  • DAX -0.2%
  • CAC40 unchanged
  • IBEX -0.4%
  • FTMIB -0.2%

French CPI may final:m/m +0.1% vs +0.2% exp

Posted: 11 Jun 2013 11:48 PM PDT

  • -0.1% prev
  • y/y +0.9% vs +0.9% exp  +0.8% prev

French current account april: EUR -2.8 bln vs -2.9 bln prev

Posted: 11 Jun 2013 11:47 PM PDT

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