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Thursday, June 13, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

Germany says G8 summit will compare Japan’s economic policy with others

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 01:45 AM PDT

Good luck with that. Who are they going to compare it with? 1930′s America?

  • G8 wants to send signal against protectionism
  • Wants to promote international, multilateral standards on taxevasion

Noises coming from a German government source via Reuters

That’s some profit taking

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 01:29 AM PDT

Nikkei down over 6%? Profit taking?

If that’s how the Abe and his mob think then maybe we should be worried about their ability to pull the Japanese rabbit out of the hat.

USD/JPY has made it to one of the fib levels from the 2012 lows.

usdjpyweekly 13 06 2013

This one is taken from the Sep 2012 swing up and comes in at 93.56 (blue).

The next is the 38.2 all time low to high at 92.97 (white).

Support (for what it’s worth at the moment) is at 93.20 with stronger at 92.00.

Since the first break down through 95, the big figure has acted as resistance an we’ve pushed lower from there. It should offer further resistance on another move up but in this volatility I wouldn’t put your hat on it.

When we get moves like this I pay less attention to the short dated tech levels and look for the long dated or far out tech that is likely to hold large moves in the first instance.

We may get 100+ pip moves but the market will always stop somewhere and 9/10 times that will be a strong technical level.

Japan’s Suga: Kuroda says profit taking is a reason for stock market falls

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 12:53 AM PDT

oh really ?

  • the chief cabinet sec says Kuroda happy that economy is moving in right direction as aimed at by policy makers

There really should be a jawboning tax on this lot.

That would help boost the govt’s finances!

EURGBP orders

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 12:34 AM PDT

A decent rally after yesterday’s fall to 0.8468.. currently 0.8525 from 0.8542 highs

Sellers 0.8550,0.8580,0.8590,0.8600,0.8650

Bids 0.8510,0.8500,0.8480,0.8465,0.8450,0.8430,0.8400

Swiss producer import prices may: m/m -0.3% vs +0.1% exp

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 12:30 AM PDT

  • +0.2% prev
  • y/y -0.2% vs -0.1%

Out just now. Lower than expected.

CHF weaker.  USDCHF 0.9177 EURCHF 1.2254

 

EURJPY orders

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 12:26 AM PDT

Currently 125.76 after 125.51 lows

Sellers 126.00,126.50 126.80,127.00,127.30,127.50

Buyers 125.50,125.00,124.80,124.50,124.00

European equity markets open lower

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 12:13 AM PDT

  • FTSE -1.2%
  • DAX -1.5%
  • CAC40 -1.2%
  • IBEX -1.1%
  • FTMIB -1.6%

USDJPY orders

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 12:08 AM PDT

Currently finding some support above 94.00

Sellers 94.40,94.50,94.90,95.00,95.20,95.50,95.60, 95.90, 96.00

Buyers 93.75,93.50,93.00,92.70,92.50

usdjpy orders 13 june

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 13 Jun 2013 12:03 AM PDT

Currently off its highs at 1.5559. 1.5700-10 sell area still proving difficult to breach despite a 1.5701 high post in Asia

Sellers 1.5700,1.5710,1.5730,1.5750

Buyers 1.5645,1.5630,1.5610,1.5600, 1.5580,1.5550

gbpusd orders 13 june

AUDUSD orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 11:56 PM PDT

Another good rally this morning despite AUDJPY selling pressure. currently 0.9487

Sellers 0.9500,0.9520,0.9550,0.9560,0.9575,0.9600

Buyers 0.9440,0.9420,0.9400,0.9380,0.9340,0.9320,0.9300 ( barrier option related )

USDJPY lower again

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 11:34 PM PDT

I wish I had a pound for every time i’ve posted that headline recently!

New lows of 93.79 just now

Hearing talk of good buying interest at 93.75

Currently back to 94.03 10

EURJPY also bouncing from 125.50 buy order level. currently 125.91 from 125.51

Crazy days are here again

EURUSD orders

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 11:23 PM PDT

Currently 1.3375

Sellers 1.3400,1.3430,1.3440,1.3480,1.3500,1.3520

Buyers 1.3350,1.3330,1.3300,1.3270,1.3250

Deja vu time as USD finds sellers again

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 11:13 PM PDT

I wrote a post early yesterday morning saying that Europe had an interest to sell the greenback

USDJPY just smashed through 94.00 to 93.95 on lower futures market. currently 94.06

USDCHF 0.9145 ( so I was right to express caution in my EURCHF post)

EURUSD 1.3377  from 1.3385 highs

GBPUSD 1.5685

Nikkei closes down 6.35% at 12,445.38

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 11:05 PM PDT

  • -843.94 points
  • high 13,038
  • low 12,415
  • lowest close since 3rd april

Now let’s see what the Nikkei futures market does

USDJPY back down to 94.23

 

German wholesale price index may: m/m -0.4 % vs +0.3% exp

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 11:03 PM PDT

  • -0.2% prev
  • y/y -0.1 % vs +0.1% exp -0.4% prev

EURUSD unmoved at 1.3358

 

EURCHF bouncing from 1.2250 support

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 10:57 PM PDT

We’ve talked about this level a few times recently

Currently 1.2262 from 1.2251 lows

I’ve just bought small at 1.2254 for a position build

Not convinced just yet as USDCHF still looking to slide with USDJPY but the euro undoubtedly has support in the dips elsewhere too

eurchf 13 june

BOJ’s Shirai: Watching forex moves closely

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 10:40 PM PDT

So are we!

Press conference details hitting the wires

USDJPY up to 94.45 from new lows of 94.19 just now

  • BOJ’s JGB buying will lower risk premium and become more efffective on yields over time
  • still room for stock risk premium to fall further
  • deisreable for long-term interest rates to rise gradually
  • expects JGB yields to rise grraduallly in 2-3 years
  • BOJ will not suddenly end ultra-easy policy in 2 years
  • will review policy at appropriate times to consider economic and price developments
  • expects Japan to approach 2% inflation target toward end of fiscal year 2015

That appears to be it for the moment

USDJPY 94.40 Nikkei 12,571

 

USDJPY posts new 3 month lows

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 10:23 PM PDT

New session lows just posted at 94.40 30

Nikkei 12,526

EURJPY 126.04 from 125.95 lows taking out 126.00 bids

ECB’s Asmussen: reiterates that monetary policy alone can not solve Eurozone problems

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 10:19 PM PDT

Reuters reporting from a German radio interview

  • says govts must implement structual reforms
  • ECB bond buying does not breach its own mandate

EURUSD 1.3352

 

Nikkei continues move lower

Posted: 12 Jun 2013 10:14 PM PDT

currently down a further 1% since my last update

Now 12,562 USDJPY 94.60

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