InstaForex

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

BOE’s King: Not sensible to return to normal interest rates until there is a sustainable recovery

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:54 AM PDT

Try telling that to the FOMC Sir Merv

  • says people have jumped the gun to think there will be an imminent return to normal interest rates anytime soon
  • says reaction to Fed announcement is not a communication problem. The issue is uncertainty over economic outlook

You can say that again ( and probably will a few times before he hangs up his hat)

  • says he is very disappointed at failure of other countries to put in place policies to help return of global growth
  • there will be serious solvency problems at banks if debt levels not reduced before interest rates increase

I’m with you on that last one

More from Coeure: has full trust that Fed will be on top of exit strategy

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:52 AM PDT

Let’s hope so matey

BOE’s Bean says rate cut still an option

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:50 AM PDT

Out on reuters a moment ago

  • bank rate cuts including below zero still an option
  • MPC will keep it under review

GBPUSD a little lower at 1.5435

 

EURGBP orders

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:47 AM PDT

Stuck in a 0.8485-8515 range this morning. currently back off its lows at 0.8505

Sellers 0.8515,0.8525,0.8540,0.8550,0.8575,0.8590.0.8600

Buyers 0.8485,0.8475,0.8465,0.8450,0.8440,0.8420,0.8400

EURJPY orders

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:44 AM PDT

Currently 127.87

Sellers 128.30,128.50,128.70,128.90.129.00,129.25,129.50,130.00

Buyers 127.60,127.50,127.25,127.10,127.00,126.80,126.50

BOE’s Dale sees a period of modest but sustained growth for UK

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:34 AM PDT

Grateful for small mercies

Out on the wires

  • sees CPI rising over next few months and fluctuate around 3% for much of summer and autumn
  • says weakness in wage growth means that domestic cost pressures remain well contained
  • short run trade-off between output and inflation is unusually uncertain

More jaw-boning. GBPUSD still 1.5445

 

 

AUDUSD orders

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:31 AM PDT

Found some support once the Shangahi Comp turned around and aussie bond yields eased. Now 0.9284 with good sell interest at 0.9300 just ahead

Sellers 0.9290,0.9300,0.9320,0.9350,0.9370,0.9400

Buyers 0.9220,0.9200,0.9180,0.9150,0.9145,0.9125,0.9100

USDJPY orders

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:27 AM PDT

Still in my humble opinion looking top heavy for the moment but good demand seen in the dips. currently 97.36 just off session lows of 97.26

Sellers 97.70.97.80,98.00,98.30,98.40,98.70,98.90,99.00,99.20

Buyers 97.20,97.00,96.80,96.50,96.20,96.00

ECB’s Coeure: Our exit is distant and our monetary policy will remain accommodative

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:14 AM PDT

Out on the wires

More to follow

  • ECB’s non-standard measures will stay  in place as long as necessary
  • there are other measures, standard and non-standard, that we can use if needed
  • recent volatility in global fixed income markets is excessive in view of economic conditions
  • we need clear predictable rules for bank resolution, establishment of single resolution mechanism
  • continuation of low govt bond spreads can not be taken for granted
  • bank capital, liquidity buffers should be sufficient to withstand normalization in all market segments

Nothing new but a reminder that the ECB is one central bank not tightening any time soon

EURUSD  a little lower at 1.3125

 

 

Italian retail sales april sa: m/m -0.1% vs -0.3% prev

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:03 AM PDT

  • nsa y/y -2.9% vs -3.0% prev

A room with a view

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 01:00 AM PDT

My wise and learned friend at a major bank equity desk in London still maintains a bullish/upbeat/bargain-picking stance overall

Here’s what he has to say on current scenarios

Being asked from all quarters, where do stock markets go from here?

 Despite some severe moves to the downside since Bernanke spoke about tapering and the China-related weakness this week, there are still pointers that suggest you go long with a 3 month view. Indicators says equities are massively oversold and there have been definite signs of bargain hunting this week; hedge funds all seem placed for a bounce; long only funds tell us there are no redemptions going on and the pattern of trading is one of rotation as opposed to capitulation.

 How would I play it? Well ,industrials and construction materials have the least Chinese exposure so are the sectors to own, but stay away from metals and miners.

What do you think?

 

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 12:43 AM PDT

Currently 1.5440 after an early rally to 1.5464

Sellers 1.5465,1.5480,1.5490,1.5500,1.5530,1.550,1.5570

Buyers 1.5425,1.5410,1.5400,1.5380,1.5370,1.5350,1.5330,1.5300

PBOC says it will closely watch liquidity conditions

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 12:15 AM PDT

Unnamed PBOC official from that press conf

  • will watch external payments to manage liquidity
  • blames tight liquidity on seasonal factors ( yea, right)
  • money market fluctuation only temporary

Let’s hope so but somehow I doubt it.

AUDUSD off its highs at 0.9243 as are:

USDJPY 97.47 EURUSD 1.3127 GBPUSD 1.5430

 

European equity markets open firmer

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 12:07 AM PDT

  • FTSE  +0.7%
  • DAX  +0.65
  • CAC40 +1.1%
  • IBEX +1.0%
  • FTMIB +1.0%

Shanghai Comp closes down 0.2%

Posted: 25 Jun 2013 12:05 AM PDT

A good recovery from its lows of almost 6% down

CS1300 index closes down 0.3%

Chinese press conf not convened to address credit crunch

Posted: 24 Jun 2013 11:58 PM PDT

Turns out it’s to introduce the 2013 Lujiazui Forum  in Shangahi and is currently under way

There is a Q&A session after though so it’s still possible we might get something out of it

French business climate june: 93 vs 93 exp

Posted: 24 Jun 2013 11:46 PM PDT

  • 92 prev

EURUSD orders

Posted: 24 Jun 2013 11:44 PM PDT

Currently just off session highs at 1.3147

Sellers 1.3150,1.3160,1.3180,1.3200,1.3210,1.3230,1.3250

Buyers 1.3110,1.3100,1.3080,1.3070,1.3060,1.3030,1.3020,1.3000

Reports of a press conf in China shortly

Posted: 24 Jun 2013 11:34 PM PDT

Not confirmed but there’s talk of a press conference coming up  to be attended by officials from the PBOC and various equity and bank regulators

The hope is that they will announce measures to help ease the current crisis

Shangahi Comp steady at 1918 but other markets improving on the expectation. Update: now less than 1% down on the day

Hopefully we’lll find out soon enough

Eurostoxx 50 futures open up +0.2%

Posted: 24 Jun 2013 11:12 PM PDT

  • Dax futures + 0.2%
  • CAC 40 futures ++0.3%

Bund futures 45 ticks higher at 140.76

0 comments: