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Thursday, June 27, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

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Eurozone economic sentiment index june: +91.3 vs +90.3 exp

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 02:02 AM PDT

  • +89.4 prev
  • industrial sentiment  -11.2 vs -12.4 exp -13 prev

EURGBP higher after UK data

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:38 AM PDT

Just posted highs of 0.8527

I’ve sold half my longs  from yesterday that we talked about ( 0.8470 buying interest ) at 0.8525 and will look to see if we can break 0.8535 for an attack on 0.8550

Raising s/l to 0.8490 to lock in some profit on the balance

UK current account Q1: GBP -14.5 bln vs -11.8 bln exp

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:32 AM PDT

Worse than expected too

  • GBP-13.62 bln prev revised up from -14.04 bln
  • Current account deficit now 3.6% of GDP

UK Q1 GDP final: q/q +0.3 % vs +0.3% exp

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:30 AM PDT

  • +0.3% prev
  • y/y  +0.3 % vs +0.6% exp +0.6% prev

Lower y/y revsion sending pound lower

GBPUSD 1.5295 EURGBP 0.8520

Add:

  • Q1 real household disposable income -1.7% q/q. biggest drop since Q1 1987 . And there simply lays the root problem

 

 

 

USDJPY orders

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:24 AM PDT

Currently 98.11 having retreated from that last rally to 98.38

Sellers 98.50,98.70,98.90,99.00,99.20,99.50

Buyers 98.00,97.90,97.80,97.50,97.30,97.20,97.00,96.90,96.50

AUDUSD orders

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:21 AM PDT

Still looking perky at 0.9320 but strong sell interest close by still capping it

Sellers 0.9340,0.9350,0.9370,0.9390,0.9400,0.9420,0.9450

Buyers 0.9275,0.9250,0.9235,0.9220,0.9200,0.9180

 

USDJPY forces stops again before heading lower

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:17 AM PDT

As duly reported earlier we tripped some stop-loss buying in a rush through 98.30 to post highs of 98.38

The strong sell interest at 98.50 was one step too far yet again

Result? yep, as before a move lower again

Currently 98.08

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:11 AM PDT

Currently 1.5328 having failed to breach sell interest at 1.5350

Sellers 1.5350,1.5370,1.5390,1.5400,1.5425,1.5450,1.5480,1.5500

Buyers 1.5310,1.5300,1.5280,1.5250,1,5240,1.5225,1.5200

cable orders 27 june

Eurozone m3 annual growth may: +2.9% vs +2.9% exp

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 01:02 AM PDT

  • +3.2% prev
  • pvt loans -1.1% y/y

German unemployment change june: -12k vs +8k exp

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 12:57 AM PDT

  • +12k prev
  • unemployment rate 6.8% vs 6.9% exp 6.8% prev revised down from 6.9%

EURUSD up a little at 1.3040 on the  better than expected data

 

EURUSD orders

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 12:36 AM PDT

Currently 1.3022 having failed to get back over 1.3050 pivot

Sellers 1.3050,1.3060,1.3070,1.3080,1.3100,1.3130,1.3150

Buyers 1.3000,1.2985,1.2960,1.2950,1.2920,1.2900

eurusd orders 27 june

USDCHF quietly marches on

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 12:16 AM PDT

Now up to 0.9438 lifting EURCHF with it to 1.2290 just ahead of the 100 dma at 1.2295 and week’s high of 1.2297

Our buy dips strategy still working but we might expect some resistance here

eurchf 27 june

USDJPY approaching offers again

Posted: 27 Jun 2013 12:13 AM PDT

The generally USD bullish tone to the session so far means that this pair is back up to 98.20, just shy of this week’s cap.

Sell interest noted again with stop-loss buying anticipated if 98.25-30 area breaks.. More offers at 98.50

Support now at 97.80-00

French consumer sentiment june: 78 vs 81 exp

Posted: 26 Jun 2013 11:45 PM PDT

  • 79 prev

Eurostoxx 50 futures up +0.2%

Posted: 26 Jun 2013 11:08 PM PDT

  • DAX futures +0.2%
  • CAC40 futures +0.2%

Bund futures down 8 ticks at 140.95

Nikkei closes on its highs – up 2.96% at 13,213.55

Posted: 26 Jun 2013 11:06 PM PDT

  • +379.54
  • high 13,213.55
  • low 12,873.50

USDJPY rallying to 98.01 on the strong close

 

German import prices may: m/m -0.4 % vs -0.2% exp

Posted: 26 Jun 2013 11:00 PM PDT

  • -1.4% prev
  • y/y  -2.9 % vs -2.8% exp  -3.2% prev

UK’s Osborne and his spending review impact

Posted: 26 Jun 2013 10:36 PM PDT

Yesterday’s review was as much political as it was financial and has far reaching consequences both for public sector workers and welfare claimants,including the introduction of a policy not to pay benefits to those who can’t speak english.

Here’s a round-up of the UK press reaction

Osborne slashes public sector jobs

Osborne announces sweeping cuts to benefits and public sector pay

Osborne keeps on with plan for pain

Public sector to lose automatic rises

Osborne wields welfare axe

EU agrees on bank bail-out terms

Posted: 26 Jun 2013 10:23 PM PDT

Following on from Eamonn’s earlier post that agreement had finally been reached, here’s some more detail courtesy of The Guardian 

The agreement is a key step toward EU banking union and lays out the rules as to the order of who takes the hits in the event of a bank going down or being restructured.

Add:

The FT carries this story ( may be gated but available on free basic subscription)

Data coming up in this session

Posted: 26 Jun 2013 09:45 PM PDT

Good day one and all

Let’s hope for a livelier session than Asia

A few bits of data to help us along our way, and no doubt we’ll get another dollop of jaw-boning as has been the pattern this week

Not that it’s been a real game changer for the most part

Anyhow, have a great session and hopefully we can help make/save a few pips for you

Times GMT

data 27 june

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