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Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

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Eurozone GDP Q1 revision: q/q -0.2 % vs -0.2% exp

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 02:00 AM PDT

  • -0.2% prev
  • y/y -1.1 % vs -1.0% exp -1.0% prev

EUR/GBP falls after UK services PMI

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 01:58 AM PDT

Had a little slip down to 0.8504.

We cracked through the 100 H4ma & 200wma at 0.8517.

The 100 dma has kept a lid on the highs in the 0.8540/50 area and the tech support is still pretty good below.

eurgbpdaily 05 06 2013

Support is seen at 0.8502, the 55 dma at 0.8496, the 200 H$ ma at 0.8493 then strong support at 0.8485/88.

I still like a long from 0.8500 but my stop will be tight around 0.8480 as my feeling is that the UK will continue to overtake the EU in a recovery thus there will be downward pressure on the pair. The highs are getting lower so it’s all starting to point down. This may be one last chance to get a bounce off some good tech support.

 

It always takes two to make a market

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 01:40 AM PDT

As we often say here at ForexLive

Ryan gave you the heads up on a long play into the UK services PMI, and before that I’d given you a heads up on the buy rumour/sell fact scenario, and highlighted strong sell order interest at 1.5380.

He went long and sold on the spike, and yes, shock, I sold the rally.

Everyone’s a winner. Hurrah!

May UK services PMI 54.9 vs 53.0 exp.

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 01:28 AM PDT

  • Prior  52.9

GBP/USD pops to 1.5371

UK services PMI is the big one

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 01:22 AM PDT

The UK service sector accounts for around 75% of UK GDP so it’s a biggie.

The market looks to be getting ahead of itself again and pricing in a good number.

The expectation is for a rise of 0.1. This is quite a low expectation so we could see a nice pop in cable if it’s higher.

Given that the trend today is pointing to more dollar weakness there may be value in taking a small long ahead of the figure. If it’s very good up we go. If it’s a slight miss then it may cause cable to sell off but will likely be faded. A big miss and we could dump.

Resistance is seen at 1.5344 with the 100 dma at 1.5347, the 61.8 fib from May hi/lo at  1.5367 then strong resistance at 1.5378, 1.5413.

gbpusddaily 05 06 2013

Support below is the 200 H4 ma at 1.5313, support at 1.5285 then 1.5275.

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 01:21 AM PDT

We’re seeing a perky pound ahead of the services PMI at 08.28 gmt. Cable just had a decent rally back to session highs around 1.5340. A case of buy rumour/sell fact ?

The services sector is key to UK GDP so the importance of this number can not be underestimated

Sellers 1.5350,1.5380,1.5400,1.5420,1.5430,1.5450

Buyers 1.531o, 1.5290,1.5270,1.5250,1.5230,1.5200

cable orders 5 june

Euro caps again after softer PMI data

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 01:06 AM PDT

Not a lot of cheer in the releases.

Euro rally capped for the moment again

EURUSD 1.3076  EURGBP 0.8527  EURJPY 130.38

Eurozone services PMI may: 47.2 vs 47.5 exp

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 01:00 AM PDT

  • 47.5 prev
  • composite unchanged at 47.7

May German services PMI 49.7 vs 49.8 exp

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 12:53 AM PDT

  • Prior 49.8
  • Composite 50.2 vs 49.2 prior

French services PMI may: 44.3 vs 44.3 exp

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 12:48 AM PDT

  • 44.3 prev
  • composite 44.6 vs 44.3 prev

Italian services PMI may: 46.5 vs 47.5 exp

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 12:43 AM PDT

  • 47.00 prev
  • new business  falls to 43.5 vs 46.9 prev

Spanish services PMI may: 47.3 vs 44.4 prev

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 12:20 AM PDT

  • highest in 23 months
  • employment index  45.2 vs 43.1 prev.. highest in 20 months

Euro higher again after this better than expected number, although technically still in contraction mode below 50

EURUSD 1.3079  EURGBP 0.8540  EURJPY 130.40

Aussie looking ugly again

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 12:10 AM PDT

AUDUSD  failed on its first attempt to break down through 0.9590 but now has barrier option support at 0.9550 in its sights. AUDJPY 95.28 GBPAUD 1.6010

AUDUSD 5 JUNE

EURUSD orders

Posted: 05 Jun 2013 12:02 AM PDT

Lower again since my previous post mentioning the good-size sell interest between 1.3110-20. currently 1.3076

Sellers  1.3110,1.3120 ( stop-loss buying if breached),1.3140,1.3150,1.3190,1.3200

Buyers 1.3065,1.3050,1.3035,1.3015,1.3000,1.2985

eurrusd 5 juine

 

EURUSD pops over 1.3100 only to run into more sellers

Posted: 04 Jun 2013 11:43 PM PDT

Having finally taken out some decent sell interest at 1.3100 we’ve just popped up to 1.3107 before running into more sellers at 1.3110. I hear there’s more up to 1.3120 then expect some stop-loss buying if breached

Currently back down 1.3095

Aussie dollar under fire again

Posted: 04 Jun 2013 11:19 PM PDT

Hurrah, a new topic !

Despite the early European appetitite to sell USD the ailing aussie dollar is coming under attack again, not helped by weaker than expected GDP and pressure of the yen buying so far.

( not to mention getting bowled out for 65 by India in a ICC Champions Trophy warm-up game )

S&P/ASX200 closed at 4835.20. lowest since january 25th

AUDUSD on it’s session lows around 0.9605. AUDJPY 95.58. EURUSD up 1.3630 GBPAUD 1.5970

Nikkei closes down 3.83% at 13.014.87

Posted: 04 Jun 2013 11:08 PM PDT

  • -518.89 points
  • 6 week lows

USDJPY 99.58

Closed just off the daily lows of 13,011 so we need to watch the futures now for signs of follow-through

Nikkei lower again – part 278

Posted: 04 Jun 2013 10:40 PM PDT

I really am trying to find some other news to write about but this little tinker keeps on tanking!

Low 13011 now.  down 3.8%

USDJPY 99.40

Nikkei posts new daily lows of 13,165

Posted: 04 Jun 2013 10:15 PM PDT

Down 2.55% on the session

USDJPY dips again to 99.56. EURJPY 130.29 AUDJPY 95.96  GBPJPY 152.66

Data coming up in this session

Posted: 04 Jun 2013 09:57 PM PDT

Ok,  I was putting this together before my coffee and cornflakes were rudely interrupted once again by the naughty Nikkei.

Main focus will be  Eurozone GDP and retail sales, and UK services PMI data particularly seeing as how it’s such a major part of GDP. Then as the US get going we have the ADP NFP change to kick-start our afternoon.

Good luck everyone, and I hope we can help make you a few pips.

Times BST ( GMT+1)

DATA 5 JUNE

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