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Monday, July 8, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

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EURJPY orders

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 02:00 AM PDT

Currently 130.02

Sellers 130.30,130.50,131.00,131.20,131.50

Buyers 129.85,192.50,192.20,129.00,128.50,128.20,128.00

EURGBP orders

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:57 AM PDT

Currently 0.8621.

Sellers 0.8630,0.8640,0.8650,0.8665,0.8690,0.8700

Buyers 0.8610,0.8600,0.8570,0.8550,0.8540,0.8520,0.8500

AUDUSD orders

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:50 AM PDT

Currently 0.9063

Sellers  0.9080,0.9090,0.9100,0.9120,0.9150,0.9180,0.9200

Buyers  0.9040,0.9030,0.9025,0.9000,0.8950,0.8900

Market technical levels Monday 8 July

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:48 AM PDT

While I’m still getting to grips with the charts and what’s been going on I’ve put together some levels of note.

EUR/USD

Resistance

  • 1.3000/05 strong res
  • 1.2959 res
  • 1.2930 55 wma
  • 1.2892 res

Current price 1.2832

Support

  • 1.2800 trendline Nov 2012/Apr 2013
  • 1.2782 sup
  • 1.2738 sup
  • 1.2728 sup
  • 1.2679 61.8 fib Jul 2012/Feb 2013 lo/hi

GBP/USD

Resistance

  • 1.5018 res
  • 1.5007/15 broken support May 2013
  • 1.4900 broken trendline May 2010/Mar 2013

Current price 1.4873

Support

  • 1.4798 sup
  • 1.4722 sup
  • 1.4715 sup

USDJPY

Resistance

  •  103.72 May high
  • 102.96 res
  • 102.56 strong res
  • 102.09 res
  • 101.86 strong res
  • 101.63 res

Current price 101.35

Support

  • 100.29 sup
  • 99.82 sup
  • 99.41 sup
  • 99.26 55 dma
  • 98.96 sup
  • 98.67 31.8 fib Jun/Jul lo/hi
  • 98.47 sup

AUD/USD

Resistance

  • 0.9278 res
  • 0.9229 res
  • 0.9199 strong res
  • 0.9183 55 H4ma
  • 0.9146 res

Current price 0.9065

Support

  • 0.9015 sup
  • 0.8983 sup
  • 0.8963 sup
  • 0.8901 sup

EUR/GBP

Resistance

  • 0.8726 strong res
  • 0.8707 res
  • 0.8669 strong res
  • 0.8640 res
  • 0.8630/35 Apr/Jul highs, trendline Feb/Mar highs

Current price 0.8626 

Support

  • 0.8600 broken upper channel line
  • 0.8572 sup
  • 0.8567 55 mma
  • 0.8546 55 H4ma
  • 0.8539 100 dma
  • 0.8533/36 sup, 200, 100 H4ma's
  • 0.8512 200 wma
  • 0.8510 Lower channel line

USDJPY orders

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:46 AM PDT

Currently 101.36

Sellers 101.50,101.60,101,70,101.80,102.00,102.20,102.50,102.70,102.80,103.00

Buyers 100.80,100.70,100.60,100.50,100.25,100.00

GBPUSD orders

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:39 AM PDT

Currently 1.4875. struggling to get back up through 1.4900. Large support at 1.4850 still in place

Sellers 1.4900,1.4910,1.2920,1.4940,1.4950,1.4990,1.5000,1.5030,1.5050

Buyers 1.4860,1.4850,1.4830,1.4820,1.4800,1.4780,1.4750

Eurozone sentix index july: -12.6 vs -10 exp

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:30 AM PDT

  • -11.6 prev

Troika finalises Greek review

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:27 AM PDT

  • Have reached a staff-level agreement with Greek government
  • Macro outlook broadly in line with adjustment program
  • Outlook remains uncertain but sees possibility of a return to growth in 2014
  • Government committed to take corrective action
  • Some policy implementation has fallen behind
  • Greece to address tax and revenue issues as well as health sector over-spend

So what did I miss?

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:21 AM PDT

Morning all

I leave you lot alone for a few days and it all goes potty.

I’m back in the saddle (well, my office chair) and raring to go.

So, if someone can tell me all the levels I need to know about that would be great as I haven’t got a clue (only joking).

Let’s ‘ave it

ECB’s Nowotny: interest rates will stay low for extended period

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 01:12 AM PDT

  • can rule out any increases for that time
  • fragmentation of Europe still clearly a problem

Nothing new here

EURUSD still trying to chew through offers up to 1.2850. currently 1.2834

Add:

  • Says inflation still the most important criteria for ECB

 

Swiss Q1 industrial orders: y/y +0.6% vs -1.4% prev

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 12:17 AM PDT

  • Q4 revised up from -2.4%

EURUSD sellers noted

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 12:13 AM PDT

I’m hearing of Asian central bank interest to sell EURUSD here and further rallies after they were seen actively selling the greenback vs their respective currencies in the Asian session.

EURUSD 1.2827 from 1.2833

Still has buyers in the dips too though

China’s Shanghai Composite Index closes down 2.44% at 1958.27

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 12:05 AM PDT

This was dragging on the Aussie dollar earlier

Index losses being attributed to govt pledges to cut off credit facilities to industries threatened by over capacity

Plenty of Chinese data coming up this week inc inflation numbers tomorrow and trade data on wednesday

European equity markets open higher

Posted: 08 Jul 2013 12:04 AM PDT

  • FTSE +0.8%
  • DAX +0.9%
  • CAC 40 +0.8%
  • IBEX +0.7%
  • FTMIB +0.6%

EURUSD orders

Posted: 07 Jul 2013 11:49 PM PDT

Currently 1.2818

Sellers 1.2835,1.2850,1.2885,1.2900,1.2920,1.2935,1.2950

Buyers 1.2810,1.2800,1.2790,1.2780,1.2750,1.2735,1.2700

eurusd orders 8 july

US NFPs don’t tell the full story

Posted: 07 Jul 2013 11:47 PM PDT

Another bit of background reading for you which I found combing through the press earlier

The Guardian’s Dean Baker has this to say

Over the last three months, three sectors – restaurants, retail trade, and temporary help – have accounted for more than half of the jobs created. These sectors offer the lowest-paying jobs, with few benefits and little job security.

The fact that these sectors are growing rapidly speaks to the state of the job market. These sectors always generate lots of jobs, but in a good economy, no one will take them. Workers take these jobs when there are no better alternatives available

Read the full article here and scroll down to the comments where there are some enlightening contributions

German trade surplus may: EUR +14.1 bln vs +17.5 bln exp

Posted: 07 Jul 2013 11:13 PM PDT

  • EUR +17.7 bln prev
  • exports m/m -2.4% vs -0.4% exp +1.9% prev
  • imports m/m +1.7% vs +0.5% exp +2.3% prev
  • current account surplus EUR +11.2 bln vs revised +16.7 bln prev

Nikkei closes on session lows at 14,109.34

Posted: 07 Jul 2013 11:09 PM PDT

  • -1.4%
  • -200.63 points
  • high 14,497.65

USDJPY lower at 100.97

Nikkei off its lows going into the close

Posted: 07 Jul 2013 10:54 PM PDT

Currently 14,142.99 after new session lows of 14,126.78

USDJPY 101.11

Japan’s service sector index lower for third straight month

Posted: 07 Jul 2013 10:52 PM PDT

The so-called Economy Watchers Poll for June was released earlier and came in at 53.0 vs 55.7 prev

The Japanese Cabinet Office said the survey reflected the uncertainty over the turmoil in financial markets, adding that the pace of economic recovery is recently moderating

The outook index was lower at 53.6 vs 56.2 prev

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