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Thursday, August 22, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

Link to ForexLive

Why devaluing the pound hasn’t been such an easy fix for the UK trade balance

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 01:53 AM PDT

I’ve long argued, here and elsewhere, that devaluation of the pound was never going to be the sole answer to increasing our trade balance, especially when we’re net importers.

The FT has similar thoughts today

Exports should be booming but it takes more than a currency depreciation to reshape an economy

Article may be gated but available on basic free subscription, or search “UK Trade: One way traffic”

Yen pairs at key levels

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 01:45 AM PDT

USDJPY  challenging strong barrier related sell interest at 98.50. More behind that

EURJPY trying to chew through sell orders from 131.50 but plenty more all the way up to 132.50

If the intitial levels break we can expect some knee-jerk follow through

It could still be a big “if” but neither of them are exactly retreating in a rush at the moment

EURJPY orders 22 August

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 01:38 AM PDT

Currently 131.47 banging against strong sell interest around 131.50. more offers behind that

Sellers 131.50 131.70 131.80 131.90 132.00 132.20 132.50

Buyers 131.10 131.00 130.80  130.60 130.20 130.00 129.85

Pound lagging behind again

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 01:23 AM PDT

Ok, this is the sort of headline I really prefer writing !

Euro demand is driving EURGBP higher to 0.8570 forcing GBPUSD to stay below 1.5600 after the earlier rally to 1.5615 ran into good sell interest

I’m hearing Asian demand down here at 1.5580-85, probably taking profit from that rally.

More bids down to strong interest at 1.5550

EURGBP has  good sell interest from 0.8585 which might cap this current rally so be aware

GBPAUD lower at 1.7275 from o/n highs of 1.7487

GBPCHF on session lows at 1.4395 from 1.4457

Eurozone flash manufacturing PMI august: 51.3 vs 50.8 exp

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:59 AM PDT

  • 50.3 prev
  • services flash PMI  51 vs 50.2 exp 49.8 prev
  • comp flash PMI 51.7 vs 50.9 exp 50.5 prev

Euro higher again on better data

EURUSD 1.3364 EURGBP 0.8563 EURJPY 131.28

EURGBP orders 22 August

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:58 AM PDT

Currently 0.8557

Sellers  0.8565 0.8575 0.8585 0.8600 0.8610 0.8620 0.8630

Buyers 0.8535 0.8525 0.8510 0.8500 0.8485 0.8475 ( stops below 0.8470 if breached ) 0.8450

USDJPY orders 22 August

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:54 AM PDT

Currently 98.20

Sellers 98.35 98.45 98.50 98.65 98.75 98.90 99.00 99.20

Buyers 98.00 97.85 97.65 97.50 97.00 96.90

AUDUSD climbs back above 0.9000

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:41 AM PDT

Reports of its death are greatly exaggerated, for the moment at least

A decent recovery from the post-FOMC lows of 0.8932

Currently 0.9015 heading into offers between 0.9220-50

German Markit flash manufacturing PMI august: 52.0 vs 51.2 exp

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:28 AM PDT

  • 50.7 prev
  • services flash PMI 52.4  vs 51.8 exp  51.3 prev
  • comp flash PMI 53.4  vs 52.8 prev

Euro now higher on the better than expected data

Keep up out there !

EURUSD 1.3347 EURGBP 0.8556 EURJPY 131.07

Next up EZ flash PMI at 07.58 GMT

Euro knocked back by weaker French PMI data

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:11 AM PDT

EURUSD has fallen to 1.3322 from 1.3350 on the weaker than expected data

Bids around here but stop loss selling seen below 1.3320 with more buyers lined up at 1.3300 as per my earlier orderboard

EURGBP finding a few buyers in the dip to 0.8535 and EURJPY holding at 130.80 for the moment having dropped back through 131.00

Next up is the German flash mgtg PMI at 07.28 GMT

European equity markets open firmer

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:06 AM PDT

  • FTSE +0.1%
  • DAX flat
  • CAC 40 +0.2%
  • IBEX +0.4%
  • FTMIB +0.3%

Shanghai comp index closes down 0.28% at 2067.12

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 12:03 AM PDT

French Markit flash manufacturing PMI august: 49.7 vs 50.3 exp

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 11:58 PM PDT

  • 49.7 prev
  • services flash  PMI  47.7 vs 49.2 exp  48.6 prev
  • comp PMI 47.9 VS 49.1

Euro lower on the weaker than expected data

EURUSD 1.3332 EURGBP 0.8538 EURJPY 130.87

GBPUSD orders 22 August

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 11:41 PM PDT

Currently 1.5606

Sellers 1.5625 1.5650 1.5665 1.5675 1.5685 1.5700 1.5725 1.5750

Buyers 1.5580 1.5570 1.5560 1.5550 1.5525 1.5500

 forex market GBPUSD orders 22 August 2013

GBPUSD orders 22 August

Swiss trade balance july: CHF +2.38 bln vs 2.82 bln prev

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 11:11 PM PDT

  •  prev figure revised up from CHF 2.73 bln
  • USDCHF steady at 0.9241 after the weaker than previous data

Eurostoxx 50 futures down 0.2% in early trading

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 11:09 PM PDT

  • DAX futures -0.3%
  • CAC 40 futures -0.2%

Bund futures down 34 at 139.80

 

Nikkei closes lower at 13,365.17

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 11:06 PM PDT

  • -0.44%
  • -59.16
  • high 13,447.38
  • low 13,238.73
  • USDJPY 98.24

AUDUSD orders 22 August

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 10:58 PM PDT

Currently 0.8987

Sellers 0.9005 0.9020 0.9040 0.9050 0.9070 0.9090 0.9100 0.9150

Buyers 0. 8975 0.8965 0.8950 0. 8930 0.8920 0.8900 0.8880

forex market AUDUSD orders 22 August 2013

AUDUSD orders 22 August 2013

EURUSD orders 22 August

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 10:49 PM PDT

Currently 1.3341

Sellers 1.3375 1.3385 1.3400 1.3420 1.3450 1.3475 1.3485 1.3500

Buyers 1.3330 1.3325  ( stop loss selling below 1.3320) 1.3300 1.3285 1.3250

forex market orders EURUSD 22 August 2013

EURUSD orders 22 August

Nikkei quiet moving into the final hour

Posted: 21 Aug 2013 10:05 PM PDT

Hopefully that headline should get it moving now at least!

  • 13,410.13
  • -0.11
  • USDJPY off its highs at 98.27

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