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Friday, August 23, 2013

Your forexlive.com ENewsletter

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Pound pops up after Q2 GDP revision

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 01:55 AM PDT

We’ve seen traders clamour for the pound on the release of the confirmation of  Q2 GDP second reading to +0.7% vs +0.6% prev

Cable jumped from 1.5601 and took out the sell interest around 1.5625 but has found plenty of initial supply to 1.5638 with traders positioned long into the release.

EURGBP is back to 0.8552 after dipping to 0.8541

Other GBP pairs little changed

I think the jury’s still out on a further rally, with both bulls and bears happy with the outcome so far.

UK BBA mortgage approvals july: 37.2k vs 37.3 prev

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 01:37 AM PDT

  • gross mortgage borrowing GBP 9.1 bln

Not a game changer

Cable chewing through the offers

Now 1.5634

 

UK Q2 GDP 2nd reading: +0.7 % vs +0.6% exp

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 01:30 AM PDT

In line with some of the forecasts that I highlighted earlier

GBPUSD up to test sell interest around 1.5625

High post 1.5630

Currently 1.5620

EURGBP down to 0.8540

 

EURJPY orders 23 August

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 01:25 AM PDT

Currently 132.04

Sellers 132.35 132.50 132.75 133.00 133.20 133.50 133.80 134.00

Buyers 131.80 131.50 131.10 131.00 130.80 130.50

AUDUSD orders 23 August

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 01:22 AM PDT

Currently 0.8993

Sellers 0.9030 0.9040 0.9050 0.9075 0.9090 0.9100 0.9150

Buyers 0.8985 0.8970 ( stop loss selling if breached ) 0.8950 0.8935 0.8920 0.8900 0.8880

EURGBP orders 23 August

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 01:19 AM PDT

Currently 0.8556

Sellers 0. 8575 0.8585 0.8600 0.8610 0.8620 0.86230 0.8640 0.8650

Buyers 0.8540 0.8520 0.8510 0.8500 0.8485 0.8475

GBPUSD orders 23 August

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 01:15 AM PDT

Currently 1.5588

Sellers 1.5610 1.5620 1.5625 1.5640 1.5650 1.5685 1.5700 1.5720 1.5750

Buyers 1.5575 1.5565 1.5550 ( stop loss selling if breached ) 1.5525 1.5510 1.5500 1.5490 1.5475 1.5450

forex market orders GBPUSD 23 August 2013

GBPUSD orders 23 August

ECB’s Nowotny sees no immediate reason for a rate cut

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 12:37 AM PDT

Quoted on Bloomberg

  • Says  the recent good news from Eurozone has removed any need for a interest rate cut
  • says he also rules out ECB tightening

Nothing new in his position

EURUSD 1.3335

UK Q2 GDP second-reading view

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 12:29 AM PDT

There’s been a lot of talk over the past few days that we will see an upward revision to the preliminary reading from +0.6% to +0.7% due to better than expected data in the interim.

My view is that this level of revision has been factored in and we could yet again see a buy rumour/sell fact scenario today with the release at 08.30 GMT

There’s no doubting that an upward revision is a GBP- positive and of course if it’s better than +0.7% we’ll all applaud loudly and the pound will soar in the short term at least. If it comes in at 0.6% as previously then we’ll see a dip on the immediate disappointment even though it’s a decent number. Any downward revision will definitely cause a big slap lower.

There’s strong resistance at 1.5700-20 still despite popping the barrier earlier this week. Good buy interest still at 1.5550  but with stop loss selling below if breached with more demand seen at 1.5500. Currently 1.5596 with immediate offers reported at 1.5625

Strong sell interest at 0.8585-0.8610 on EURGBP may well come into play if the pound does get sold off, putting a brake on immediate  further  cable decline.

Of course, it may all just turn out to be an end of week anti-climax.

Let’s hope not.

European equity markets open mixed

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 12:11 AM PDT

  • FTSE  -0.1%
  • DAX +0.02%
  • CAC40 -0.1%
  • IBEX  +0.2%
  • FTMIB +0.1%

Shanghai comp index closes down 0.47% at 2057.46

Posted: 23 Aug 2013 12:07 AM PDT

AUDUSD finds support at 0.8985

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 11:51 PM PDT

Early Europe selling on this pair has run into support at 0.8985

More buy orders reported at 0.8970 with stop loss selling if breached into more bids at 0.8950

Sellers noted at 0.9040-50

Currently back to 0.9004

EURUSD orders 23 August

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 11:38 PM PDT

Currently 1.3340

Sellers 1.3350 1.3365 1.3380 1.3400 1.3410 1.3420 ( stop loss buying if 1.3425 breached ) 1.3450

Buyers 1.3325 1.3310 1.3300 1.3285 ( stop loss selling if 1.3280 breached) 1.3265 1.3250 1.3210 1.3200

forex market EURUSD orders 23 August 2013

EURUSD orders 23 August

USDJPY finds fresh legs

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 11:24 PM PDT

Early Europe picking up a few on this pair

Bouncing from the 98.85 level I reported earlier where some  buy orders were lurking

Now posting new session highs at 99.14 ahead of good sell interest at 99.20 and 99.50

Currently 99.09

Eurostoxx 50 futures +0.3% in early trading

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 11:20 PM PDT

  • FTSE futures +0.3%
  • DAX futures +0.4%
  • CAC 40 futures +0.2%

Bund futures up 4 at 139.77

 

German final Q2 GDP: q/q +0.7% vs +0.7% prev reading

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 11:06 PM PDT

  • y/y +0.9% vs +0.9% prev
  • Q2 q/q exports + 2.2%   imports +2.0%

Nothing of note in the headline but EURUSD a little lower again at 1.3336

Nikkei closes up 2.21% at 13,660.55

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 11:05 PM PDT

  • +295.38
  • high 13,774.66
  • low 13,575.40
  • USDJPY 98.96

German fin min Schaeuble says its good that ECB will raise interest rates when economy improves

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 11:01 PM PDT

Quote comes from a newspaper interview cited by Reuters

No great surprises here

EURUSD taking a little comfort though and up slightly to 1.3343

Nikkei turns lower again

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 10:52 PM PDT

Dragging USDJPY with it down to 98.85

I noted strong offers at 99.20 and Guitar 7 in the comments refers to a Kumo cloud- linked sell signal with a bit of % retracement thrown in for good measure between 99.06/15 for those of you who follow the analysis

Nikkei currently down to 13,619.57 as we approach the final bell

USDJPY orders 23 August

Posted: 22 Aug 2013 10:32 PM PDT

Currently 99.00 off session highs of 99.11

Sellers 99.20 99.30 99.40 99.50 99.70 99.90 100.00

Buyers 98.85 98.65 98.40 98.30 98.10 98.00 97.85 97.50

forex market USDJPY orders 23 August 2013

USDJPY orders 23 August

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